Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3457

Bill Overview

Title: Protecting Americans from Fentanyl Trafficking Act of 2022

Description: Protecting Americans from Fentanyl Trafficking Act of 2022 This bill permanently places fentanyl-related substances as a class into schedule I of the Controlled Substances Act. A schedule I controlled substance is a drug, substance, or chemical that has a high potential for abuse; has no currently accepted medical value; and is subject to regulatory controls and administrative, civil, and criminal penalties under the Controlled Substances Act. The temporary scheduling order issued by the Drug Enforcement Administration to place fentanyl-related substances into schedule I of the Controlled Substances Act expires on February 18, 2022.

Sponsors: Sen. Cotton, Tom [R-AR]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals involved in the manufacture, distribution, or regulation of fentanyl-related substances

Estimated Size: 10000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Recovering addict (Ohio)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this bill will reduce the availability of fentanyl, helping others avoid the trap I fell into.
  • The permanent classification might also mean more resources for rehabilitation and prevention.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Healthcare worker (New York)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill is a step in right direction; it could help us reduce the cases of overdose we see daily.
  • However, we need more support in terms of resources to deal with the trauma and wellness of care providers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

DEA Agent (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This move strengthens our ability to act decisively against traffickers.
  • More resources might be required for regional offices to adapt to changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

Nonprofit worker (California)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could potentially bring more attention and resources to the opioid crisis.
  • We hope it doesn’t just focus on punishment but also on rehabilitation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Fentanyl distributor (Georgia)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This law will make it much harder to operate as penalties increase.
  • The risks are high, and many might reconsider involvement in trafficking.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 2 4
Year 2 3 4
Year 3 4 4
Year 5 3 3
Year 10 2 3
Year 20 1 2

Pharmacist (Colorado)

Age: 32 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While this bill addresses illegal substances, there's a need for better tracking of legal prescriptions too.
  • It's a positive step, but comprehensive strategies are needed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 4

Law Student (Virginia)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The law seems harsh but necessary in some cases; however, we should look at more preventive measures.
  • I worry about the implications for civil liberties and rehabilitation focus.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 7

Police Officer (Alaska)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This legislation should strengthen our capacity to combat opioid trafficking.
  • There might be challenges in reallocating resources to enforce it effectively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 5

Public health official (Florida)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It is an important step but must be accompanied by health-focused interventions and support systems.
  • We need balance between criminalization and health-centric approaches.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

College Student (Indiana)

Age: 21 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 17/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • From what I've learned, addressing the root causes and socio-economic factors is crucial.
  • I hope this policy leads to better community support and education.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $52000000 (Low: $32000000, High: $72000000)

Year 3: $54000000 (Low: $34000000, High: $74000000)

Year 5: $58000000 (Low: $37000000, High: $77000000)

Year 10: $65000000 (Low: $41000000, High: $83000000)

Year 100: $100000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $120000000)

Key Considerations