Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3455

Bill Overview

Title: Prohibiting IRS Financial Surveillance Act

Description: This bill prohibits the Department of the Treasury from requiring a financial institution to report the balances, transactions, or the transfers into and out of a financial account. This prohibition does not apply to laws or regulations in effect on the date of enactment.

Sponsors: Sen. Scott, Tim [R-SC]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals with financial accounts

Estimated Size: 300000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Marketing Analyst (New York, NY)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I value my financial privacy, and I think reducing IRS surveillance is positive.
  • However, I'm concerned about tax evasion that might go unnoticed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Small Business Owner (Dallas, TX)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Less intrusive IRS surveillance is beneficial for my peace of mind, especially after the audit.
  • I am wary of fraudulent activities increasing as a result, however.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Software Engineer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I feel a sense of relief knowing my financial transactions won't be over-scrutinized.
  • There's a risk that without data, tax avoidance might rise.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 5

Retired (Chicago, IL)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about how this change might impact broader fiscal responsibility.
  • Less IRS oversight could lead to loopholes for tax evaders.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Student (Seattle, WA)

Age: 22 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't fully understand the implications but it seems better not to have everything watched.
  • It might make tax more complicated for people really wealthy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Accountant (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 44 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This will reduce the administrative burden for compliance, but might obscure necessary fiscal scrutiny.
  • Could create challenges in managing transparent and ethical tax practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Freelancer (Miami, FL)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this could ease my anxiety around financial reporting.
  • But I wonder if it won't benefit those already avoiding taxes more than people like me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Public School Teacher (Boston, MA)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think financial transparency is important, so I'm hesitant about reducing checks.
  • Could see issues if it leads to less accountability for major earners.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Construction Worker (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 59 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm for any policy that keeps government from peeking over my finances.
  • Don't like taxes being more easily dodged though.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Tech Entrepreneur (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This will make the financial operations less cumbersome, but there could be a downside if it complicates international compliance agreements.
  • Could benefit my business operations by reducing bogged down reporting.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $700000000)

Year 2: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $700000000)

Year 3: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $700000000)

Year 5: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $700000000)

Year 10: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $700000000)

Year 100: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $700000000)

Key Considerations