Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/2561

Bill Overview

Title: A bill to amend the Forest and Rangeland Renewable Resources Planning Act of 1974 and the Federal Land Policy and Management Act of 1976 to provide that a land resource management plan or land use plan approved, amended, or revised under those Acts shall not be considered to be a continuing Federal agency action or constitute a discretionary Federal involvement or control for a distinct Federal purpose, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill addresses consultation after approval of certain land and resource management plans and land use plans. Specifically, the bill provides that the Forest Service and Bureau of Land Management shall not be required to reinitiate consultation under the Endangered Species Act on a completed land resource management plan or a completed land use plan that has no on-the-ground effects when a new species is listed or a new critical habitat is designated under that act, or new information reveals effects of such plan that may affect a species listed or critical habitat designated under that act in a manner or to an extent not previously considered.

Sponsors: Sen. Daines, Steve [R-MT]

Target Audience

Population: People directly or indirectly dependent on land managed by the Forest Service or Bureau of Land Management for employment, recreation, conservation, and cultural practices.

Estimated Size: 50000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Forestry Worker (California)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about the impact on conservation efforts without frequent reviews.
  • This change might simplify our administrative work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Rancher (New Mexico)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think less oversight is better for us as it means fewer interruptions.
  • However, wildlife preservation is also crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Wildlife Biologist (Montana)

Age: 56 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's worrying as we might miss crucial updates affecting species.
  • I believe long-term impacts might be negative for biodiversity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 4 6

Outdoor Recreation Business Owner (Utah)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I doubt it makes much difference to us immediately.
  • If this affects landscapes or species, it could affect tours in future.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 7

Environmental Activist (Oregon)

Age: 25 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm very concerned about the implications of less frequent consultations.
  • This might set back conservation efforts significantly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 4
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Retired (Colorado)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don’t see this affecting me directly in the short term.
  • I worry about potential long-term effects on nature.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 7

Mining Engineer (Nevada)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems beneficial to reduce delays in project approvals.
  • However, we must balance this with environmental concerns.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Native American Tribe Member (Idaho)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could impact our cultural practices adversely.
  • Our land and its species hold sacred value beyond economic or scientific.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 3 5
Year 20 3 5

Landscape Photographer (Arizona)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My work relies on access to preserved landscapes.
  • Policy changes that harm natural beauty worry me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Policy Analyst (Washington)

Age: 53 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy aims to simplify administrative procedures for land use without on-ground effects.
  • We need to assess potential implications on species protection more closely.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $12000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $16000000)

Year 3: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $13000000)

Year 5: $8000000 (Low: $6000000, High: $10000000)

Year 10: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 100: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $2000000)

Key Considerations