Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/2559

Bill Overview

Title: Deepfake Task Force Act

Description: This bill requires the Department of Homeland Security to coordinate with the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy to temporarily establish the National Deepfake Provenance Task Force. Comprised of federal and nonfederal stakeholders, the task force must address threats posed by digital content forgeries (i.e., digital audio, images, and text fabricated or manipulated using artificial intelligence, machine learning, and other emerging technologies with the intent to mislead). The task force's activities include developing a plan to reduce the proliferation of digital content forgeries. The task force terminates 90 days after submitting its final report.

Sponsors: Sen. Portman, Rob [R-OH]

Target Audience

Population: People impacted by deepfake technologies globally

Estimated Size: 330000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Conflict Journalist (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy's focus on combating deepfakes is important for maintaining integrity in journalism.
  • Misinformation through deepfakes can have serious consequences on conflict zones reporting.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Digital Forensics Expert (New York, NY)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act could standardize deepfake verification, aiding forensic processes.
  • I'm concerned about the limited budget which might restrict thorough implementations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

AI Developer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 27 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The task force could result in more ethical AI usage which aligns with my values.
  • Worried about potential limitations on innovation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 4

Retired Teacher (Orlando, FL)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Important step towards combating misinformation, but will this actually reach everyday users like myself?
  • Skeptical about real change due to budget constraints.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 5 3
Year 20 4 2

University Student (Austin, TX)

Age: 21 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This initiative is crucial for protecting media integrity in political discourse.
  • Hopeful it will lead to more accurate political content online.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Corporate Lawyer (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The financial and legal risks associated with deepfakes are substantial.
  • The task force could streamline how the judicial system handles these cases.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

Cybersecurity Analyst (Seattle, WA)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Deepfake security is integral to preventing corporate fraud.
  • It's unclear if the task force's scope will affect day-to-day cybersecurity practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Influencer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Fragile digital reputations need protection from deepfake exploits.
  • I fear policy changes could impose restrictions on digital content creation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 3
Year 10 7 2
Year 20 6 2

Public School Teacher (Denver, CO)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Educational resources need to address deepfake awareness for safer media consumption.
  • Hope the task force includes educators' perspectives.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 3

Media Analyst (Portland, OR)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The task force could guide media integrity standards and practices.
  • Wary of possible impacts on content freedom and authenticity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $60000000)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations