Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/2150

Bill Overview

Title: Wildland Fire Mitigation and Management Commission Act of 2021

Description: This bill directs the Departments of the Interior and Agriculture and the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) to jointly establish a commission to study and make recommendations to improve federal policies relating to wildland fire prevention, mitigation, suppression, management, and rehabilitation. The Department of Defense and other relevant federal departments and agencies must submit to the commission an inventory of surplus cargo and passenger aircraft and excess common-use aircraft parts that may be used for wildland firefighting purposes.

Sponsors: Sen. Romney, Mitt [R-UT]

Target Audience

Population: People impacted by wildland fires

Estimated Size: 70000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Forestry Technician (Bend, Oregon)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy will help us better coordinate with federal resources.
  • Expecting more support for equipment and training.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 4

Retired (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerned about air quality and property safety.
  • Policy might improve community safety plans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 3

Firefighter (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Better equipment and training can help save lives.
  • Need clearer federal guidelines.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Air Quality Scientist (Denver, Colorado)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy could lead to reduced smoke emissions across regions.
  • Need comprehensive air monitoring systems.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

Homeowner (San Francisco, California)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Hope the policy improves local fire defense infrastructure.
  • Concerned about increasing insurance costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Nurse (Spokane, Washington)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Better preparedness might reduce hospital admissions.
  • Hopes for policies to address vulnerable populations like children and elderly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Volunteer Firefighter (Albuquerque, New Mexico)

Age: 37 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Expect greater access to equipment through coordinated federal help.
  • Concerned about ongoing training inadequacies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 4

Teacher (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Hope for better school air filtration systems as a result of policy.
  • Safety measures need improvements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

City Planner (Salt Lake City, Utah)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Federal coordination is necessary for urban planning focused on fire breaks.
  • Anticipate better emergency response strategies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Rancher (Reno, Nevada)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Expect policy to enhance firefighting capabilities in rural areas.
  • Concerned about water allocation for firefighting vs farming.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $12000000 (Low: $9000000, High: $16000000)

Year 3: $12000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $15000000)

Year 5: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $13000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations