Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/2129

Bill Overview

Title: Otto Warmbier Countering North Korean Censorship and Surveillance Act of 2021

Description: This bill authorizes sanctions related to censorship in North Korea and addresses related issues. The President may impose property-blocking sanctions on foreign individuals and entities responsible for implementing or facilitating North Korea's censorship laws and surveillance. For the individuals that meet such criteria, the President may also impose visa-blocking sanctions. The bill also authorizes the U.S. Agency for Global Media to provide increased broadcasting and grants for various purposes, including the development of internet freedom tools to facilitate information sharing related to North Korea and the restoration of the agency's broadcasting capacity to North Korea.  The President must submit to Congress a strategy to combat North Korea's information environment. The Department of State and the Department of the Treasury must jointly report to Congress each year on U.S. government activities related to the enforcement of sanctions against North Korea.

Sponsors: Sen. Portman, Rob [R-OH]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals affected by North Korean censorship and surveillance efforts

Estimated Size: 1000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Policy Analyst (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy aligns with my work and could enhance the visibility of North Korean censorship issues.
  • I support the efforts to increase pressure on North Korea through strategic sanctions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Journalist (New York, NY)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy provides more tools to gather information from North Korea, which could be useful for my work.
  • As a journalist, I am always supportive of measures that increase transparency and access to information.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Human Rights Activist (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a step in the right direction but needs more robust funding and international cooperation to be truly effective.
  • Increased broadcasting efforts are crucial for sharing human rights stories out of North Korea.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Software Developer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The funding and support for internet freedom tools will likely help advance my work in breaking internet censorship in authoritarian regimes.
  • This policy could extend our services and impact into new areas, particularly for North Koreans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Government Employee (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our office will have more work but also more resources to handle it, thanks to this policy.
  • There will be challenges in ensuring these sanctions are effective.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Professor (Seattle, WA)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could provide new material for research and case studies in my classes, which is academically stimulating.
  • It's encouraging to see active measures being taken against censorship on a global scale.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired Diplomat (Boston, MA)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Such policies are crucial but should be a part of a larger diplomatic strategy to be truly effective.
  • I'm hopeful this will lead to more open communications with North Korea.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

NGO Worker (Austin, TX)

Age: 26 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy will likely lead to increased funding, which is beneficial for my projects on media freedom.
  • Having more tools to counter censorship is always a positive in our line of work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Cybersecurity Analyst (Miami, FL)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy should bolster cyber operations against North Korean censorship efforts, which aligns with my line of work.
  • More strategic pressure could effectively weaken North Korean cyber operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Public Policy Researcher (Denver, CO)

Age: 49 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy offers insights into how media delivery can be expanded into restricted regions like North Korea.
  • Looking forward to analyzing the effectiveness of these measures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 2: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 3: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 5: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations