Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/1631

Bill Overview

Title: Arizona Experiment Station Land Conveyance Act of 2022

Description: This bill directs the Department of Agriculture (USDA) to convey to the University of Arizona approximately 13.3 acres of National Forest System land within the Coconino National Forest in Arizona for market value if the Arizona Board of Regents, acting on behalf of the University of Arizona Experiment Station, submits a written request to USDA to acquire such land.  The market value of the land must be determined by an appraisal to be conducted in accordance with this bill.

Sponsors: Sen. Kelly, Mark [D-AZ]

Target Audience

Population: People associated with the University of Arizona and local stakeholders in Coconino National Forest area

Estimated Size: 10000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

University Professor (Tucson, Arizona)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The land conveyance could be beneficial for expanding our research facilities.
  • I'm concerned about the potential environmental impact, but I hope it leads to more resources for our research.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Environmental Scientist (Flagstaff, Arizona)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about the potential misuse of the conveyed land and its impact on the forest ecosystem.
  • I hope the university will focus on sustainable practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

College Student (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 20 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If the land is used for more research and student projects, it could greatly improve my education.
  • I'm hopeful about new opportunities for hands-on learning.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired Forest Ranger (Sedona, Arizona)

Age: 68 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope the conveyance maintains the historical and environmental values of the land.
  • My main concern is ensuring continued public access and conservation practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Real Estate Appraiser (Tempe, Arizona)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 1/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This land appraisal is a complex task due to its mixed use and environmental factors.
  • The policy creates more work opportunities for appraisers in educational contexts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

University Administrator (Tucson, Arizona)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The land acquisition could help us grow and advance our university's standing.
  • Budget constraints are a concern, but this gives us a long-term advantage.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Local Business Owner (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Depending on land use, eco-tourism could benefit from or be hurt by this policy.
  • I've seen how land acquisitions can shift economic opportunities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Lawyer (Coconino County, Arizona)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 1/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • These projects are beneficial legally but require thorough compliance checks.
  • It boosts my career through exposure to complex legal property issues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Local Government Official (Flagstaff, Arizona)

Age: 46 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am cautious about how this policy could affect regional environmental policies.
  • My job requires ensuring that all developments comply with local eco-friendly statutes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Freelance Journalist (Santa Cruz County, Arizona)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is of public interest, especially where it intersects education and environment.
  • I report to raise awareness about the implications for community and nature.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000 (Low: $30000, High: $80000)

Year 2: $5000 (Low: $2000, High: $10000)

Year 3: $5000 (Low: $2000, High: $10000)

Year 5: $5000 (Low: $2000, High: $10000)

Year 10: $5000 (Low: $2000, High: $10000)

Year 100: $5000 (Low: $2000, High: $10000)

Key Considerations