Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/1321

Bill Overview

Title: Casa Grande Ruins National Monument Boundary Modification Act of 2021

Description: This bill modifies the boundary of the Casa Grande Ruins National Monument in Arizona and provides for a study of the feasibility of designating the Don Young Legacy Trail in Alaska. Specifically, with respect to the monument, the bill authorizes the Department of the Interior to acquire private or state land or interest in land by donation, exchange, or purchase from willing sellers in order to expand the boundaries of the Casa Grande Ruins National Monument in Arizona. The bill transfers administrative jurisdiction over specified parcels of Bureau of Land Management land to the National Park Service (NPS) or the Bureau of Indian Affairs (BIA) and specifies an exchange of land between the BIA and the NPS. Upon the acquisition of land or an interest in private or state land, and with respect to any transferred land, Interior shall administer the acquired or transferred land as part of the monument, and modify the boundary of the monument to include the acquired or transferred land. Interior may enter into an agreement with Arizona to provide for cooperative management of approximately 200 acres of specified state lands.

Sponsors: Sen. Kelly, Mark [D-AZ]

Target Audience

Population: People affected by modification and expansion of Casa Grande Ruins National Monument

Estimated Size: 2000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

retired (Coolidge, Arizona)

Age: 53 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm hopeful this policy will mean more preservation for the ruins, they hold a deep historical and personal value for me.
  • With more tourism, I'm optimistic about better local amenities but concerned about over-commercialization.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

tourism coordinator (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see this as an exciting opportunity to share more about Arizona's culture and history with tourists.
  • It might increase job opportunities not just for me but for young people interested in tourism.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

archaeologist (Tucson, Arizona)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This expansion could open up new research opportunities and ensure better protection for these historically significant sites.
  • I'm concerned about any negative environmental impacts that might arise from increased tourism.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 10 8
Year 20 10 8

small business owner (Santa Cruz County, Arizona)

Age: 46 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More visitors to the ruins could mean more business for my B&B, which is a great prospect.
  • I'm concerned about whether infrastructure improvements will keep pace with visitor numbers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

private landowner (Pinal County, Arizona)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm wary of selling my land even if they are offering fair market value. I need more clarity on future land use and rights.
  • It's hard to value my land's worth strictly in dollars given my family's roots here.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

state parks manager (Flagstaff, Arizona)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The cooperative management could streamline conservation efforts, which is beneficial.
  • We may face increased bureaucratic challenges managing land together with federal authorities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

outdoor recreation guide (Anchorage, Alaska)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This study can catalyze trail development, diversifying our tourism offerings here in Alaska.
  • It's crucial for us to ensure the trail aligns with sustainable practices to benefit community and nature alike.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

local government worker (Scottsdale, Arizona)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act might complicate zoning due to the blend of state and federal rules.
  • However, clearer guidelines can pave the way for future projects involving land use in heritage sites.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

environmental consultant (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There's a risk of negatively impacting local ecosystems if construction isn't managed well.
  • But, responsible expansion can enhance conservation and education about natural heritage.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

history graduate student (New York, New York)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A better-preserved Casa Grande could boost academic and public interest, which is crucial for my studies.
  • Access across expanded or newly researched lands would be invaluable for comprehensive research.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Year 3: $8000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $12000000)

Year 5: $6000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $10000000)

Year 10: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $5000000)

Year 100: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $2000000)

Key Considerations