Bill Overview
Title: Sunset Crater Volcano National Monument Boundary Adjustment Act
Description: This bill modifies the boundary of the Sunset Crater Volcano National Monument in Arizona to include approximately 97.71 acres of identified Forest Service land. The bill transfers administrative jurisdiction over the Forest Service land from the Forest Service to the National Park Service (NPS). The NPS shall administer the added land as part of the monument.
Sponsors: Sen. Kelly, Mark [D-AZ]
Target Audience
Population: Individuals visiting or living near Sunset Crater Volcano National Monument
Estimated Size: 500000
- The legislation affects a specific geographical area, Sunset Crater Volcano National Monument, located in the United States.
- It involves a land boundary adjustment and transfer of administrative jurisdiction from the Forest Service to the National Park Service.
- No direct mention of affecting international regions or populations; therefore, it is primarily a local/national impact.
- Affected individuals are primarily within the local area, including residents, businesses, and visitors.
- Potential indirect effects on tourists who visit the national monument might extend the impact beyond local residents, but it's still nationally centralized.
Reasoning
- The policy affects a specific, relatively small geographical area; thus, the most impacted individuals will be those who live nearby, work in the national monument or neighboring areas, and visitors.
- The budget for the first year is modest, suggesting that effects will be primarily administrative rather than infrastructural or economic in nature.
- Given the localized nature of the policy, interview subjects will predominantly include local residents, business owners, government employees, and tourists.
- The Cantril wellbeing scores will help us understand any changes in public perception and satisfaction towards the administrative change.
Simulated Interviews
local government employee (Flagstaff, AZ)
Age: 45 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I think it's beneficial for the land management to transition to the National Park Service, as they have more experience with park lands.
- I expect to see more attention and resources allocated to this part of the monument.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 7 |
small business owner (outdoor gear and tours) (Sunset Crater Volcano vicinity)
Age: 34 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I'm hopeful that this change will boost tourism by making the park more attractive to visitors.
- There’s a bit of uncertainty though about how the policies might change in ways that affect my business.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 5 |
tourist (Phoenix, AZ)
Age: 29 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 2.0 years
Commonness: 10/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I'm optimistic that the NPS will enhance the visitor experience.
- I hope this translates to better facilities and access at Sunset Crater.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 6 |
environmental scientist (Tucson, AZ)
Age: 58 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 9
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Professionally, I see this change as a positive step for conservation.
- The NPS's increased role could lead to better preservation outcomes.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 2 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 3 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
retired educator (Sedona, AZ)
Age: 63 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I'm excited for the educational opportunities this change might bring.
- Integration into the NPS might mean more educational programs.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 6 |
craft artisan (nearby reservation)
Age: 26 | Gender: other
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 8.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- The change might help draw more visitors, which I hope increases my sales.
- Cultural recognition by the NPS could be beneficial but remains uncertain.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 4 |
National Park Service employee (Flagstaff, AZ)
Age: 41 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I'm optimistic about the change as it aligns with our department's goals.
- Funding concerns exist, as resources are always tight.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 5 |
hotel manager (Holbrook, AZ)
Age: 38 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 15.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- A boost in visitor numbers would greatly benefit my business.
- The NPS's administrative control often means better marketing.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 5 |
park ranger (Williams, AZ)
Age: 52 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Administration changes can be cumbersome but often lead to positive long-term outcomes.
- Cross-agency transitions involve a lot of paperwork, which might slow things initially.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
freelance photographer (Grand Canyon Village, AZ)
Age: 33 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 2.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Change under the NPS often means new angles and stories to capture.
- I expect better infrastructure and facilities for photography.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 9 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 6 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $200000 (Low: $150000, High: $250000)
Year 2: $100000 (Low: $80000, High: $120000)
Year 3: $100000 (Low: $80000, High: $120000)
Year 5: $100000 (Low: $80000, High: $120000)
Year 10: $100000 (Low: $80000, High: $120000)
Year 100: $100000 (Low: $80000, High: $120000)
Key Considerations
- The transfer of jurisdiction might necessitate initial administrative and setup costs.
- Potential increase in visitor experience under National Park Service management could indirectly affect the local economy positively.
- Minimal long-term operational impact, as the additional land area is small.