Bill Overview
Title: Safe Cribs Act
Description: This bill makes it unlawful to manufacture, sell, or distribute crib bumpers. Crib bumpers generally are padded materials inserted around the inside of a crib and intended to prevent the crib occupant from becoming trapped in any part of the crib's openings; they do not include unpadded, mesh crib liners.
Sponsors: Sen. Duckworth, Tammy [D-IL]
Target Audience
Population: Infants aged 0-3 years
Estimated Size: 3600000
- Crib bumpers are used in homes with infants primarily for safety reasons.
- Primary users of cribs are newborns to infants, generally aged 0-3 years.
- This legislation will directly impact infants who are the occupants of cribs.
- Parents and caregivers of infants will be impacted as they will no longer have the option to purchase crib bumpers.
- Crib manufacturers, retailers, and suppliers will be impacted due to the change in the manufacturing and sale of these products.
- Globally, there are millions of births each year, meaning millions of infants could potentially use cribs.
- Global birth rate was approximately 140 million in 2020.
- Crib ownership and usage are common in many countries, particularly in developed nations.
Reasoning
- We must account for individuals within families that have infants and use cribs, as they are directly impacted by the policy.
- The policy will have a different level of impact depending on whether or not families have used crib bumpers. Some may rely on them for perceived safety.
- The economic impact on manufacturers is part of the assessment but may not directly affect personal wellbeing scores.
- Many families may not experience a significant change in their wellbeing because they may already not use crib bumpers, leading to either no change or only minor increases due to enhanced perceptions of safety.
- Given the budget, we must ensure that the policy reaches a significant number of families with infants, providing information and alternatives if necessary.
- Awareness of the policy and understanding its benefits will shape perceptions and potentially improve wellbeing scores once it is perceived as a safety enhancement.
Simulated Interviews
Stay-at-home mother (Austin, TX)
Age: 30 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 15/20
Statement of Opinion:
- The ban might affect my plan to make the crib look cozy.
- I understand it could be a safety concern, but I haven't had issues.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 5 |
Pediatrician (Boston, MA)
Age: 34 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 10/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Happy with the bill as it aligns with medical advice.
- Provides assurance for my patients and personal peace of mind.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 5 |
Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)
Age: 29 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 4.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Initially, I thought bumpers were a necessity.
- With the right information, I appreciate the increased safety.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 5 |
Baby Product Retailer (Chicago, IL)
Age: 40 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Affects my inventory and profit margins.
- Needs time to transition to alternative products.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 4 |
Unemployed (New York, NY)
Age: 25 | Gender: other
Wellbeing Before Policy: 4
Duration of Impact: 0.0 years
Commonness: 12/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Not personally affected as I'm not using cribs yet.
- Want everything safest for future children.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Year 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Year 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Year 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Year 10 | 4 | 4 |
| Year 20 | 4 | 4 |
Childcare Center Manager (Miami, FL)
Age: 37 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 0.0 years
Commonness: 10/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Already avoided crib bumpers due to safety guidelines.
- Supports the national standardization for safety.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 7 |
Crib Manufacturer (Denver, CO)
Age: 42 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 8.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This change pushes us to innovate safer products.
- Concerns over initial financial impacts.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
Blogger (Seattle, WA)
Age: 32 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 9/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Pleased about the heightened focus on safety.
- Provides additional content for her blog.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 7 |
Firefighter (Phoenix, AZ)
Age: 28 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 11/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Didn't know bumpers were an issue until now.
- Glad to learn about this for our future baby.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
Advocate for children's safety (Los Angeles, CA)
Age: 39 | Gender: other
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 0.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Supports any step towards improving child safety.
- Glad this is gaining legal traction.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)
Year 2: $8000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $12000000)
Year 3: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $8000000)
Year 5: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $5000000)
Year 10: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $4000000)
Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)
Key Considerations
- The bill's estimated savings over time could offset initial enforcement costs.
- Public health benefits could reduce future healthcare burdens.
- Potential for redistribution in the market towards safer alternatives, stimulating innovation.