Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/1222

Bill Overview

Title: Bonneville Shoreline Trail Advancement Act

Description: This bill modifies the wilderness designations of certain lands in the Uinta-Wasatch-Cache National Forest in Utah. The bill designates approximately 326.27 acres in the Uinta-Wasatch-Cache National Forest as part of the Mount Olympus Wilderness. The bill also removes the following lands in the Uinta-Wasatch-Cache National Forest from designation as wilderness: approximately 11.17 acres in the Mount Naomi Wilderness, approximately 197.4 acres in the Mount Olympus Wilderness, approximately 9.8 acres in the Twin Peaks Wilderness, and approximately 107.9 acres in the Lone Peak Wilderness Area. The lands removed from designation as wilderness shall be managed as part of the forest.

Sponsors: Sen. Romney, Mitt [R-UT]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals using or affected by the Bonneville Shoreline Trail and affected wilderness areas

Estimated Size: 120000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Outdoor Guide (Salt Lake City, Utah)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy will likely increase foot traffic on the trails, which is good for business but might worry conservationists.
  • I hope the increase in traffic does not lead to deterioration of the landscapes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Environmental Scientist (Provo, Utah)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry the reduction in wilderness designation might harm biodiversity and disrupt local ecosystems.
  • The access changes might bring more awareness and appreciation for natural areas.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 6 6

Restaurant Owner (Ogden, Utah)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • An increased trail accessibility might bring more tourists, boosting local businesses.
  • Sufficient infrastructure is required to manage the increased traffic without damaging the ecosystem.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Retired (Logan, Utah)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I appreciate the new access opportunities but hope it doesn't come at the cost of conservation.
  • Better managed trails might lead to improved safety and environmental education.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Student (Salt Lake City, Utah)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm looking forward to increased biking opportunities on the trails.
  • I hope the changes will maintain environmental integrity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

High School Teacher (Brigham City, Utah)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about balancing access with preservation of natural resources.
  • Educational trails can offer good learning opportunities for students.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Freelance Photographer (Logan, Utah)

Age: 38 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The changes could lead to overuse and erosion of beautiful photographic sites.
  • Increased people traffic might raise awareness of conservation needs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Software Engineer (Boise, Idaho)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Potentially more hiking opportunities would be great.
  • I hope visitor numbers don't compromise the area's natural beauty.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Logistics Manager (Sandy, Utah)

Age: 46 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could improve local tourism logistics needs with more consistent traffic.
  • The balance between nature and logistics is crucial for sustainability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Retired Park Ranger (Salt Lake City, Utah)

Age: 61 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am wary of the impact on the wilderness authenticity and the natural beauty.
  • Hope the policy includes measures for the responsible increase in visitor access.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $250000 (Low: $200000, High: $300000)

Year 2: $200000 (Low: $150000, High: $250000)

Year 3: $150000 (Low: $100000, High: $200000)

Year 5: $100000 (Low: $50000, High: $150000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $50000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $50000)

Key Considerations