Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9683

Bill Overview

Title: Protect Against Terrorist Threats (PATT) Act of 2022

Description: This bill expands, for immigration purposes, the definition of engaging in terrorist activity to include threatening, attempting, or conspiring to take certain acts considered to be terrorist activity under current law, such as gathering information on potential targets for terrorist activity. Currently, non-U.S. nationals ( aliens under federal law) who engage in terrorist activity are barred from admission into the United States.

Sponsors: Rep. Higgins, Clay [R-LA-3]

Target Audience

Population: Non-U.S. nationals seeking admission to the United States under immigration law.

Estimated Size: 0

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Immigration Lawyer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe the policy could complicate legal cases due to the vagueness in defining what constitutes a threat or attempt of terrorism. It might result in more cases being challenged in court.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Graduate Student (New York, NY)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The expanded definition could dissuade legitimate academic exchanges and screenings of international scholars over concerns of being flagged.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 8

Tech Entrepreneur (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While my business benefits from immigrant talent, security enhancements may bring peace of mind. However, administrative complications could slow down hiring processes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Community Organizer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 36 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could create fear among immigrant communities, possibly intensifying feelings of being unwelcome or targeted.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 4 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 9

Corporate Executive (Houston, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • National security is paramount and this policy provides proactive measures. However, it might restrict global movement of skilled individuals that our business relies on.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 10
Year 10 10 10
Year 20 10 10

Homeland Security Analyst (San Diego, CA)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • From a security standpoint, this policy is crucial in addressing indirect terror threats often overlooked, but enforcing it could be resource-intensive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 10

College Professor (Boston, MA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It sets a counterproductive precedent that might infringe on personal freedoms and lawful academic travel between nations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Factory Manager (Detroit, MI)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Expanding the definition complicates matters for individuals legitimately seeking asylum or building lives here, though it arguably increases security measures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 9
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 8 10

Retired Teacher (Miami, FL)

Age: 57 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Security is important, but we risk alienating people in my community who contribute positively. It might create unnecessary divides.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

Software Developer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could unnecessarily complicate the hiring of non-U.S. nationals for our projects, though I understand the security intent.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 10

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $55000000 (Low: $33000000, High: $77000000)

Year 3: $57500000 (Low: $34500000, High: $80500000)

Year 5: $60000000 (Low: $36000000, High: $84000000)

Year 10: $70000000 (Low: $42000000, High: $98000000)

Year 100: $100000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $140000000)

Key Considerations