Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9682

Bill Overview

Title: Preventing Terrorist Entry Act of 2022

Description: This bill bars non-U.S. nationals ( aliens under federal law) who are former members or representatives of terrorist organizations from admission into the United States. (Current law bars current members and representatives.)

Sponsors: Rep. Higgins, Clay [R-LA-3]

Target Audience

Population: Former members or representatives of terrorist organizations outside the US

Estimated Size: 1000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Customs and Border Protection Officer (New York City, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy seems to make our job more about background checks and less about helping people.
  • I worry about potential profiling issues that could arise from this policy.
  • I do feel it might make things safer, but it could slow down processes at the border.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Tech industry (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could make it harder to hire international talents and diversify our team.
  • I'm concerned it might affect our relations with international partners if they view it negatively.
  • On the upside, it promises greater safety which is always reassuring.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Immigration Lawyer (Houston, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy will definitely alter how I advise my clients.
  • I'm worried about how this could complicate cases where people are trying to escape dangerous situations.
  • However, if it means increased security for citizens, there's some value in that.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Government Employee (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This aligns with our security goals and could enhance safety.
  • Budget constraints might limit enforcement capabilities.
  • Public perception might not change much unless direct incidents are prevented.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

University Professor (Minneapolis, MN)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could affect our research partnerships and student exchanges.
  • It's crucial to consider the diplomatic ramifications globally.
  • It could have an indirect effect on baseline security perceptions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

Travel Agency Owner (Miami, FL)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Travel regulations could become even more complicated with this policy.
  • It might scare potential clients away amidst increased scrutiny.
  • Yet I recognize the importance of prioritizing national security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Grad Student (Chicago, IL)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's complex to assess policies that target specific groups, especially if they were former members.
  • There's academic interest in evaluating its legal standing.
  • It might shape future policy courses I take.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 6

Nonprofit Worker (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like this can have a ripple impact on people seeking safety.
  • It might lead to fear among those already here legally...
  • But, if it does increase safety it could ease concerns.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 4
Year 2 3 4
Year 3 4 4
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 6

Journalist (Boston, MA)

Age: 36 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy introduces new elements for immigration investigations.
  • Efficacy will depend on the magnitude of budget allocations.
  • There'll be public discourse impacts as opinions will vary widely.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 8

Retiree (Detroit, MI)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If it results in more safety, that’s a plus.
  • I'm a bit removed from these issues, but it's good to be informed.
  • I trust that those in charge will apply necessary measures responsibly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 3: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 5: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 10: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 100: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Key Considerations