Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9652

Bill Overview

Title: Ethics Act

Description: This bill requires all political committees to notify the Federal Election Commission of any contribution of $1,000 or more that is received less than 20 days (but more than 48 hours) before an election in which the committee makes a contribution, expenditure, or electioneering communication on behalf of a candidate or political committee of a political party.

Sponsors: Rep. Crow, Jason [D-CO-6]

Target Audience

Population: People involved or interested in democratic elections in countries similar to the U.S.

Estimated Size: 200000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Political Consultant (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could help improve transparency, which is crucial for fair elections.
  • There might be some additional work for committees like the ones I work with, but it's manageable.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Software Engineer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's good for transparency, but I don't see it affecting me directly.
  • I hope it leads to more informed voting choices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired Teacher (Dallas, TX)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased transparency is always welcome in elections.
  • It's important for voters to trust the election process.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Political Activist (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a step in the right direction for campaign finance reform.
  • It's important for holding parties accountable.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Retired Political Donor (Chicago, IL)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The changes might make some donors hesitant, but overall it's beneficial.
  • Transparency can improve how donations are perceived.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Journalist (Miami, FL)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy can provide journalists like myself with more data to analyze and report on.
  • It's a small, yet meaningful piece towards more transparency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

College Student (New York, NY)

Age: 23 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this will be part of a broader campaign finance reform effort.
  • Makes me optimistic about future transparency in politics.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Small Business Owner (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Improved transparency might lead to better policy making, but I don't engage deeply with politics.
  • I expect some positive changes in the long run.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Political Analyst (Boston, MA)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This change will provide more data which is crucial for analysis.
  • Could lead to more informed public debates on campaign finances.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Campaign Manager (Houston, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy increases workloads slightly, but it aligns with our commitment to transparency.
  • It will likely affect national campaigns more, but the principles are important.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $4000000 (Low: $2500000, High: $6000000)

Year 3: $4000000 (Low: $2500000, High: $6000000)

Year 5: $4000000 (Low: $2500000, High: $6000000)

Year 10: $4000000 (Low: $2500000, High: $6000000)

Year 100: $4000000 (Low: $2500000, High: $6000000)

Key Considerations