Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9647

Bill Overview

Title: Light Rail Transit Act

Description: This bill directs the Federal Transit Administration (FTA) to establish a grant program to provide grants to state, local, and tribal governments for the design and implementation of light rail projects, including for the redesign, retrofit, renovation, update, and repair of existing light rail systems. As condition of receiving a grant, eligible entities must certify that fares for riding the light rail transit system shall not increase solely due to improvements carried out with grant funds and for any reason for at least one year after completion of a project funded by the bill. In carrying out the program, the FTA must prioritize projects located in economically disadvantaged communities.

Sponsors: Rep. Bush, Cori [D-MO-1]

Target Audience

Population: People who use or are affected by light rail systems, particularly in economically disadvantaged areas

Estimated Size: 30000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Nurse (Seattle, WA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I rely on the light rail for daily commuting to work, improvements would be great.
  • I hope this won't just mean construction hassle without real benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

Unemployed (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Potential jobs from light rail projects give me hope.
  • I'm worried if local politics might keep these jobs away from residents like me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 4

Retired Teacher (New York, NY)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any improvements to public transport systems is beneficial for the city.
  • It's good to see focus on low-income areas—those residents need better services.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 6

Software Engineer (Houston, TX)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 20/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I may not directly use light rail, but this should help cut down city traffic.
  • It's unlikely to change my life or how I commute significantly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

City Planner (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy aligns with sustainable city goals.
  • Education on benefits must accompany construction to minimize public frustration.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

Barista (Minneapolis, MN)

Age: 26 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Predicting improved rail services would make city life easier.
  • Transit disruptions during improvements are a concern for my daily routine.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

School Bus Driver (Charlotte, NC)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Light rail improvements are great for the environment and city air quality.
  • I worry if taxpayer money is being spent wisely.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 5

Entrepreneur (Portland, OR)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Better rail systems may increase my customer foot traffic and employee satisfaction.
  • Influx during construction is a worry, but manageable if handled well.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

Social Worker (Detroit, MI)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Funding projects in disadvantaged areas is essential -- it's a big win for us.
  • Consistent delays in public work projects concern me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Environmental Activist (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Expanding rail support is crucial for environmental health.
  • Public awareness and acceptance will be key challenges.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $2000000000 (Low: $1800000000, High: $2200000000)

Year 2: $2200000000 (Low: $2000000000, High: $2400000000)

Year 3: $2400000000 (Low: $2200000000, High: $2600000000)

Year 5: $2600000000 (Low: $2400000000, High: $2800000000)

Year 10: $2800000000 (Low: $2600000000, High: $3000000000)

Year 100: $3000000000 (Low: $2800000000, High: $3200000000)

Key Considerations