Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/963

Bill Overview

Title: FAIR Act of 2022

Description: of 2022 This bill prohibits a predispute arbitration agreement from being valid or enforceable if it requires arbitration of an employment, consumer, antitrust, or civil rights dispute.

Sponsors: Rep. Johnson, Henry C. "Hank," Jr. [D-GA-4]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in employment, consumer, antitrust, or civil rights disputes where predispute arbitration is currently a factor

Estimated Size: 150000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The current arbitration agreement in our contracts feels restrictive. Having an alternative to go to court makes me feel like I have greater control and recourse if needed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Retail Manager (Austin, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy change is important because it levels the playing field for consumers and employees like myself who might end up in disputes with large companies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Retired Teacher (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm glad to see this change happen, as arbitration was always complicated and not always in our favor. I just worry whether the court system can handle the influx of cases.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Financial Analyst (New York City, NY)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The shift away from arbitration might end up costing companies more in legal fees, which usually gets passed down to employees or consumers in some way.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

College Student (Chicago, IL)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As someone studying the subject, this seems like a positive change. However, the cost and time involved in court cases might deter others from seeking justice.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Small Business Owner (Seattle, WA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could increase my business costs significantly. It feels like it could be a double-edged sword – good for consumers and employees, but rough for small business owners.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Public School Teacher (Miami, FL)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having an option to take disputes to court could empower educators who often feel helpless in negotiations against school districts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Customer Service Specialist (Cleveland, OH)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Many customers express frustrations about arbitration. Allowing court cases might help solve some issues but also could harm customer satisfaction if companies take a hit financially.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Civil Rights Advocate (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The repeal is potentially transformative for civil rights cases. Litigation could be more fair, though it remains to be seen how it pans out in reality.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

High School Student (Portland, OR)

Age: 18 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm not directly affected yet, but I see it impacting my family. They think it's a good move.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1500000000 (Low: $1000000000, High: $2000000000)

Year 2: $1600000000 (Low: $1100000000, High: $2100000000)

Year 3: $1700000000 (Low: $1200000000, High: $2200000000)

Year 5: $1800000000 (Low: $1300000000, High: $2300000000)

Year 10: $2000000000 (Low: $1500000000, High: $2500000000)

Year 100: $5000000000 (Low: $3500000000, High: $6500000000)

Key Considerations