Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9583

Bill Overview

Title: Matthew Lawrence Perna Act of 2022

Description: This bill prohibits the detention of individuals for nonviolent criminal offenses arising out of political protest activities.

Sponsors: Rep. Gohmert, Louie [R-TX-1]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals detained for nonviolent political protest crimes

Estimated Size: 50000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

College Student (Portland, OR)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Being detained during a peaceful protest was frightening and discouraged me from attending future events.
  • If implemented, this policy would make me feel safer when voicing my opinion.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Freelance Journalist (New York, NY)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The fear of detention keeps not just protestors but even reporters from doing their job effectively.
  • The Matthew Lawrence Perna Act would offer some peace of mind to those caught in such sweeps.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Software Engineer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Knowing friends who have been detained, I see this policy as bringing some relief to peaceful activists.
  • I admire the move but believe systemic change is needed for broader impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Activist (Austin, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like this could change the landscape for activist work heavily reliant on young, energetic participants.
  • It may not prevent arrests but would alleviate legal anxieties post-protest.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 8 4
Year 5 9 4
Year 10 9 3
Year 20 8 3

Retired School Teacher (Miami, FL)

Age: 58 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see it as a shield for young people, but I don't think it affects me directly.
  • If this helps keep young ones safe and engaged, then it's beneficial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Graphic Designer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The looming threat of detention keeps many from freely expressing their views.
  • I think this policy could let people demonstrate without fear.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 4

High School Student (Kansas City, MO)

Age: 19 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Acts like this clear a path for people my age to be more active without fear.
  • It's a good starting point, but ensuring protester rights at a wider level is necessary.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 6

Retired Lawyer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 66 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Generally favorable towards protective legislation for demonstrators.
  • Would be glad to see such laws cutting down unnecessary legal battles for innocent protestors.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 4

Biotech Researcher (Boston, MA)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might encourage more scientists and academics like me to join protests without undue fear.
  • A positive, albeit small, adjustment to the way demonstrations unfold.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Small Business Owner (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see the movement for such legislation as a good thing, even if it won't affect me directly.
  • Helps create a healthier culture around civil protests.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $2000000 (Low: $1000000, High: $5000000)

Year 2: $2100000 (Low: $1050000, High: $5250000)

Year 3: $2200000 (Low: $1100000, High: $5500000)

Year 5: $2300000 (Low: $1150000, High: $5750000)

Year 10: $2500000 (Low: $1250000, High: $6250000)

Year 100: $4000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $10000000)

Key Considerations