Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9579

Bill Overview

Title: Reducing Racial and Ethnic Disparities in the Juvenile Justice System Act of 2022

Description: This bill modifies provisions under the Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention Program in order to more specifically address racial and ethnic disparities with respect to arrests, secure detentions, and other decision points.

Sponsors: Rep. Crow, Jason [D-CO-6]

Target Audience

Population: Juveniles involved in the justice system

Estimated Size: 700000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

High School Student (Chicago, IL)

Age: 17 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this policy gives me a second chance.
  • Being treated fairly in the justice system is important.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 8 3
Year 10 8 2
Year 20 8 2

Student, part-time worker (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 16 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's hard to trust the system, but change would be great.
  • I want to feel safe in seeking help without being judged.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Student (Miami, FL)

Age: 15 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't think this policy affects me directly, but I hope it helps others.
  • Equal treatment in society is essential.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Unemployed (Detroit, MI)

Age: 18 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've been through the system, and it needs to be fairer.
  • Hopefully, this policy gives more support and opportunities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 3
Year 2 5 2
Year 3 6 2
Year 5 7 2
Year 10 7 1
Year 20 7 1

Middle School Student (New York City, NY)

Age: 13 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about safety in my community, maybe this policy could help.
  • I want the police to treat us fairly and understand our situation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Elementary Student (Houston, TX)

Age: 12 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't really know much about this, but my family talks about fairness.
  • Everyone should get a fair chance. I hope this helps.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

College Student (Philadelphia, PA)

Age: 19 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Restorative justice was a life-saver, more access is needed.
  • Racial disparities are real, this policy is a step in the right direction.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

High School Student (Seattle, WA)

Age: 14 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've been to protests, hoping for change is good.
  • The system needs updates to be fair to everyone.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

High School Student (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 17 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Mentorship has helped me a lot, more programs like this could benefit others.
  • I see the struggles of my peers; this policy could bring change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

High School Graduate, looking for work (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 18 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It’s hard to trust changes, but I want to believe in a better future.
  • Hoping this policy will help provide fair opportunities and less judgement.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $105000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $130000000)

Year 2: $102000000 (Low: $78000000, High: $126000000)

Year 3: $98000000 (Low: $75000000, High: $122000000)

Year 5: $95000000 (Low: $73000000, High: $118000000)

Year 10: $90000000 (Low: $69000000, High: $112000000)

Year 100: $70000000 (Low: $54000000, High: $87000000)

Key Considerations