Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9554

Bill Overview

Title: To prohibit the use of Federal funds to negotiate or contribute to international agreements that provide for "loss and damage" funds as a result of climate change.

Description: This bill prohibits the expenditure of federal funds to negotiate or contribute to international agreements providing for loss and damage funds as a result of climate change.

Sponsors: Rep. LaMalfa, Doug [R-CA-1]

Target Audience

Population: People vulnerable to climate change impacts in low-income countries

Estimated Size: 10000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Federal climate policy analyst (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy shifts our focus but doesn't immediately impact my job security.
  • However, it does limit our ability to make meaningful contributions globally.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 9

CEO of an environmental NGO (New York City)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The lack of U.S. contributions could slow down a lot of projects we're involved in.
  • We'll have to seek alternative funding or scale back our work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 9
Year 5 7 9
Year 10 7 10
Year 20 8 10

Graduate student in Environmental Science (Austin, Texas)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might limit my research opportunities.
  • It could reduce future collaboration prospects between nations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 8 9

Climate Consultant (Chicago, Illinois)

Age: 54 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Domestically, the impact is limited but could affect broader collaboration.
  • International partnerships might weaken, affecting long-term adaptation plans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 7 10

Retired (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 61 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The decision may lessen global environmental cooperation, weakening overall efforts.
  • It has limited direct impact on me, but I am concerned about the global consequences.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 9

Small Business Owner (Miami, Florida)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our business might see a small impact if international collaboration decreases.
  • I think our local and national markets remain strong, though.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Climate Scientist (Boulder, Colorado)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Research on international climate effects may become harder to fund.
  • There's a personal disappointment in the governmental shift without direct harm to my role.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 10
Year 20 9 10

Filmmaker (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My projects often cover international collaboration stories.
  • Lack of U.S. involvement reduces the narrative appeal and importance of these stories.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

NGO Worker (Boston, Massachusetts)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We rely on U.S. contributions to support current aid levels.
  • An absence of funding impacts our ability to maintain current operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 7 9

Software Developer (Portland, Oregon)

Age: 40 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy doesn't directly affect my job, but worries me about America's role on climate change.
  • I hope we join back in global efforts sooner than later.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 7 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $5000000)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $5000000)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $5000000)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $5000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $5000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $5000000)

Key Considerations