Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9548

Bill Overview

Title: Close Agency Loopholes to the Jones Act

Description: This bill eliminates several administrative exemptions to, and interpretations of, the Jones Act as enforced by U.S. Customs and Border Protection. The Jones Act requires that vessels transporting cargo domestically must be U.S.-built and generally owned and crewed by U.S. citizens.

Sponsors: Rep. Garamendi, John [D-CA-3]

Target Audience

Population: People in the maritime and shipping industries

Estimated Size: 500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Maritime Logistics Manager (Houston, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The closure of these loopholes will increase our operating costs significantly.
  • We will have to adjust our logistics and potentially charge higher rates.
  • There's a risk of losing contracts to more competitively priced alternatives.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Shipbuilder (Seattle, WA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy helps increase demand for U.S.-built vessels, which is great for job security in shipbuilding.
  • I am optimistic about more career opportunities opening up.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Import-Export Business Owner (New York, NY)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased costs in shipping will inevitably mean higher prices for my goods.
  • This could hurt small businesses like mine that heavily depend on competitive shipping costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Worker Union Representative for Mariners (Honolulu, HI)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy reinforces the need for American crews, which is beneficial for our members.
  • We could see a positive shift in employment opportunities for local mariners.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Dock Worker (Miami, FL)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about job security if shipping companies cut costs.
  • There's potential for job growth locally, yet it's uncertain how quickly that'll happen.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Ship Captain (Norfolk, VA)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Stricter enforcement could streamline crew management, ensuring all-American crews.
  • There's some concern about the transition period and adaptation costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Supply Chain Analyst (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Potentially higher domestic shipping costs could impact our delivery times and prices.
  • We'll need to update our logistics network to accommodate changes efficiently.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Port Authority Official (New Orleans, LA)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ensuring compliance with the new policy will require additional resources and staff training.
  • It could standardize operations but might complicate international logistics.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Freight Forwarder (Louisville, KY)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Adjusting to these regulatory changes will be challenging initially for coordinating shipments.
  • Long-term benefits could be seen through clearer mandates and processes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Independent Maritime Consultant (Savannah, GA)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a chance for U.S. companies to strengthen their positions by meeting these new rules.
  • Consulting demand may increase as companies navigate these changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $25000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $35000000)

Year 2: $25000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $35000000)

Year 3: $25000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $35000000)

Year 5: $25000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $35000000)

Year 10: $25000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $35000000)

Year 100: $25000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $35000000)

Key Considerations