Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9483

Bill Overview

Title: Agriculture Foreign Investment Transparency Act

Description: This bill revises reporting requirements related to acquisitions or transfers of certain agricultural land interests by foreign persons. Specifically, the bill (1) requires the Department of Agriculture to make all reports required under the Agricultural Foreign Investment Disclosure Act of 1978 (AFIDA) publicly available on its website, and (2) expands the material required to be reported under the AFIDA to include security interests and land leases of any period.

Sponsors: Rep. Stefanik, Elise M. [R-NY-21]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals affected by foreign investment in agriculture globally

Estimated Size: 1000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Farmer (Iowa)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the policy will make it clearer who owns the land I'm leasing, which is good.
  • It might be a double-edged sword if it causes the foreign investor to rethink their investment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Policy advisor (California)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act might increase reporting burdens but could also clarify foreign investment's impact on U.S. agriculture.
  • Transparency could benefit advisors and clients by providing clearer data for decisions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Investment Analyst (New York)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The transparency can make risk assessment easier for foreign clients.
  • Might deter some investors due to increased scrutiny and required disclosures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 6 7

Community Organizer (North Carolina)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Local farmers could benefit from knowing more about who owns the land.
  • There's concern about international ownership affecting local control.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Retired Farmer (Nebraska)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 20/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've always been wary of foreign investment in our farmlands.
  • Transparency is good, but it might be too late to make a big difference.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Agricultural Technologist (Texas)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This law might assure some tech investors about market stability.
  • Increased data could help refine tech solutions for agricultural transparency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 6

Land Appraiser (Kansas)

Age: 49 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having more information will make my job easier and more accurate.
  • The market might be affected if foreign investors pull back.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Agricultural Consultant (Florida)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased transparency could help sustainabilities in the long-term.
  • International partners may hesitate, affecting my work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 7 8

Farm Owner (Ohio)

Age: 58 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about market value changes due to disclosure impacts.
  • Understanding foreign interests better might help future planning.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Agricultural Student (Wisconsin)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Such policies are crucial for understanding global agricultural economics better.
  • Personally, it aligns with my academic interests, providing more substantial data for research.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 2: $3500000 (Low: $3000000, High: $4000000)

Year 3: $3600000 (Low: $3100000, High: $4100000)

Year 5: $3800000 (Low: $3200000, High: $4300000)

Year 10: $4000000 (Low: $3400000, High: $4600000)

Year 100: $4000000 (Low: $3400000, High: $4600000)

Key Considerations