Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9473

Bill Overview

Title: END FENTANYL Act

Description: This bill requires U.S. Customs and Border Protection to review and update, as necessary, manuals and policies related to inspections at ports of entry to ensure the uniformity of inspection practices to effectively detect illegal activity along the border, such as the smuggling of drugs and humans.

Sponsors: Rep. Guest, Michael [R-MS-3]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals affected by fentanyl trafficking and consumption

Estimated Size: 30000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Nurse (New York City, NY)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could lessen the influx of drug overdose cases we see daily.
  • More resources should be allocated to treatment as well as prevention.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Customs Officer (Dallas, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy may improve operation efficiency slightly.
  • Increased checks might slow down trade processes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Recovered Drug Addict (Columbus, OH)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act could save many lives if it's effective.
  • Immediate results may take time, but worth the effort.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 4

Community Leader (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy addresses root smuggling issues.
  • Community support systems are also crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Mother with affected children (Chicago, IL)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Hopeful that less smuggling will prevent more tragedies.
  • Policy needs broader support for families affected.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 3
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 7 3

College Student (Baltimore, MD)

Age: 24 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy tackling smuggling is a good start.
  • Focus should also be on college and youth outreach.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Law Enforcement (Rural Maine)

Age: 52 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any help in stopping smuggling is good, but our infrastructure is limited.
  • Policy might not directly help rural areas enough.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

Business Owner (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 57 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy might create business delays.
  • Overall reduction in drug trade is positive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Teacher (Seattle, WA)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Fewer drugs can lead to better student health and safety.
  • Greater impact needed within the education system.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Pharmacist (Miami, FL)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Preventing illegal drugs aids community health.
  • Legal and controlled substances need attention too.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $35000000)

Year 2: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 3: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Year 5: $5000000 (Low: $2500000, High: $7500000)

Year 10: $5000000 (Low: $2500000, High: $7500000)

Year 100: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Key Considerations