Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9470

Bill Overview

Title: American SAFER Act of 2022

Description: This bill expands the classes of non-U.S. nationals (aliens under federal law) who are subject to expedited removal (i.e., removal from the United States without further hearing or review). Specifically, the bill nullifies a 2004 Department of Homeland Security (DHS) rule  that generally limits expedited removal to certain situations, such as for non-U.S. nationals encountered within 14 days of entry into the United States without inspection and within 100 miles of a U.S. international land border. The bill also (1) prohibits DHS from implementing a rule that limits expedited removal based on how far a non-U.S. national was from the border when encountered or apprehended, and (2) modifies the relevant statute to state that expedited removal authority applies regardless of where the non-U.S. national was encountered or apprehended.

Sponsors: Rep. Fallon, Pat [R-TX-4]

Target Audience

Population: Non-U.S. nationals subject to expedited removal

Estimated Size: 2500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Construction Worker (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about the new policy. I've been working hard here to support my family.
  • If I'm removed, my family will be left without support.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 2 4
Year 2 2 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 3 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 6 7

Nanny (Austin, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy scares me. What will happen to my kids if I'm taken away?
  • I try to keep a low profile, but now it seems nowhere is safe.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 5
Year 2 3 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 7
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 6 9

Business Owner (Miami, FL)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I’m worried for my husband. He could be deported any moment.
  • This law seems unfair, it doesn’t even give them a chance to explain their situation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 9

Retired (Tucson, AZ)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could tear families apart. It's heartbreaking.
  • We need to find a humane way to deal with immigration issues rather than more expulsions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Student (New York, NY)

Age: 22 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I feel like my future here is more uncertain now.
  • I just want to complete my education and contribute to the community.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 8

Teacher (Houston, TX)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy causes fear among my students and disruption in learning.
  • Children shouldn’t have to worry about losing their parents.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Restaurant Owner (Chicago, IL)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could ruin my business and my life here.
  • I give jobs to people who need them and that benefits the community too.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 5
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 8

Agricultural Worker (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I’m constantly afraid of being deported under this new rule.
  • I came here to work hard and support my family.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 2 4
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 7
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 6 8

Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like this one are overly harsh and damage our society’s potential.
  • I fear for my friends who might be directly impacted.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 10

Freelance Journalist (Newark, NJ)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy gives enormous discretionary power and insufficient checks.
  • Fairness and due process are essential, especially for vulnerable groups.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $75000000)

Year 2: $51500000 (Low: $30900000, High: $77250000)

Year 3: $53045000 (Low: $31827000, High: $79667500)

Year 5: $56169135 (Low: $33642500, High: $84139931)

Year 10: $62716166 (Low: $37500000, High: $94074250)

Year 100: $80000000 (Low: $47850000, High: $120000000)

Key Considerations