Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9467

Bill Overview

Title: Emergency Vacating of Aircraft Cabin Act

Description: This bill directs the Federal Aviation Administration to issue a final rule establishing evacuation standards for transport category airplanes that accounts for certain factors, including the ability of passengers of different ages (e.g., infants, children, and senior citizens) to safely and efficiently evacuate an airplane.

Sponsors: Rep. Cohen, Steve [D-TN-9]

Target Audience

Population: People who travel using transport category airplanes

Estimated Size: 80000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Business Analyst (New York City, NY)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I feel reasonably safe flying for work, but knowing evacuations might become more efficient sounds beneficial.
  • I hope the changes do not result in significant fare increases.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Pilot (Chicago, IL)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This seems like a necessary update to ensure passenger safety.
  • I hope the implementation aligns smoothly with our existing training procedures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Retired (Houston, TX)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm glad the FAA is considering people like me in safety procedures.
  • I feel more assured traveling with my grandkids if evacuations are improved.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Software Developer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Safety is crucial, but I hope this doesn't divert attention from environmental concerns in aviation.
  • I'm curious how this will be executed across different airlines.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Part-time Lecturer (Miami, FL)

Age: 68 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Improved evacuation standards could greatly improve my flying experience.
  • Safety improvements should consider both efficiency and comfort.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 4

Medical Doctor (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm optimistic about changes that enhance safety, especially when traveling with my family.
  • Ensuring that both young and older passengers can evacuate swiftly is vital.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

Retired Air Force (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 72 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Safety is always a priority, though I don't fly often anymore.
  • These changes sound like they could help many passengers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

Travel Blogger (Seattle, WA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I’m interested in anything that improves passenger comfort and safety.
  • It’d be great if these improvements could be made without major disruptions or cost increases.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Graduate Student (Austin, TX)

Age: 25 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's good to see improvements in passenger safety, though my main concern is environmental.
  • I wonder how these changes would be economically feasible without ticket prices increasing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Airport Staff (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Enhancing evacuation procedures might mean revising current staff training, which I'm prepared for.
  • Passenger safety is always top of mind with my work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 2: $8000000 (Low: $6000000, High: $10000000)

Year 3: $8000000 (Low: $6000000, High: $10000000)

Year 5: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $7000000)

Year 10: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $7000000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $7000000)

Key Considerations