Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9461

Bill Overview

Title: To extend duty-free treatment provided with respect to imports from Haiti under the Caribbean Basin Economic Recovery Act.

Description: This bill extends through FY2035 the special duty-free rules for Haiti. It also extends through FY2035 the duty-free treatment provided for apparel articles assembled in Haiti and imported from Haiti or the Dominican Republic.

Sponsors: Rep. Wenstrup, Brad R. [R-OH-2]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in or benefiting from the import and export economy between the U.S., Haiti, and the Dominican Republic

Estimated Size: 30000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Purchasing Manager for a Clothing Retailer (New York, NY)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the policy is great as it helps us keep costs down, which we can pass onto our customers.
  • Having a predictable duty-free status makes planning our supply chain easier.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Owner of an Apparel Import Business (Miami, FL)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've seen these types of policies come and go, but they always help us and our partners in Haiti.
  • I hope this leads to more business stability for us here and for those producing in Haiti.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 9 5

Fashion Designer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If my retailer partners can get cheaper materials from Haiti, and those are sustainably produced, that's a win-win.
  • This might open up new design opportunities for me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Economist (Boston, MA)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Trade policies like this are essential for fostering economic growth both for us and partner countries.
  • I'm interested to see how this affects employment in both regions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Retired (Dallas, TX)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm always happy to find deals, but I'm not sure how this impacts me personally.
  • If it means more affordable clothes, then that's positive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Small Business Owner - Local Clothing Brand (Seattle, WA)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've always prioritized local materials, so I don't believe this will have a significant impact on me.
  • The international policies like this could pressurize domestic producers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retail Worker at a Fashion Store (Chicago, IL)

Age: 23 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Cheaper imports may mean lower prices for products I sell, which could increase traffic.
  • I might consider working in import/export after my studies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Apparel Market Analyst (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could shift some market patterns towards more Caribbean imports.
  • It may also incentivize sustainable practices if framed correctly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Textile Manufacturer (New Orleans, LA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like these make competition tougher for domestic textile manufacturers.
  • We need support to remain competitive with importers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 4 4
Year 3 4 4
Year 5 3 4
Year 10 3 4
Year 20 3 4

Logistics Manager for a National Retail Chain (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Duty-free imports simplify logistics and reduce costs, which is beneficial for our operations.
  • It assures better planning with suppliers in Haiti.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $150000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $180000000)

Year 2: $150000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $180000000)

Year 3: $150000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $180000000)

Year 5: $150000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $180000000)

Year 10: $150000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $180000000)

Year 100: $150000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $180000000)

Key Considerations