Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9456

Bill Overview

Title: Promoting Local Management of the Lesser Prairie Chicken Act

Description: This bill prohibits any population of the lesser prairie-chicken ( Tympanuchus pallidicinctus ) in Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Colorado, or New Mexico from being listed as endangered or threatened under the Endangered Species Act of 1973 (ESA). The lesser prairie-chicken is a type of grouse. Currently, two distinct population segments (DPS) of the lesser prairie-chicken are listed under the ESA. The Southern DPS of the lesser prairie-chicken is listed as endangered and the Northern DPS is listed as threatened. The bill removes both populations from the list. In addition, the bill bans Interior from listing any population of the lesser prairie-chicken as endangered or threatened in the future.

Sponsors: Rep. Estes, Ron [R-KS-4]

Target Audience

Population: People affected by the management of lesser prairie-chicken habitat regulations

Estimated Size: 3000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Cattle Rancher (Texas)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the importance of protecting wildlife, but my ranching operations have faced numerous headaches due to restrictions.
  • If the ESA listing is lifted, this could mean more flexibility and less red tape for me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

Environmental Scientist (Oklahoma)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned that this move prioritizes short-term economic gains over critical biodiversity.
  • There are sustainable ways to manage land that don't involve delisting under the ESA.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 4 7
Year 20 3 6

Oil Field Worker (Colorado)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this policy could help our operations around some tight areas.
  • Regulations have long made our operations difficult.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

Agricultural Consultant (Kansas)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see this policy as a chance to relieve some burden from the farmers I work with.
  • Hopefully, this will facilitate a more practical land management plan.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Wind Energy Developer (New Mexico)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The delisting could pave the way for more straightforward development.
  • However, careful planning to avoid environmental damage is still important.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 4

Retired Farmer (Kansas)

Age: 67 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My generation saw how mismanaged land can hurt future prosperity.
  • I'm leery of changes that remove protections without a clear plan.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Local Government Official (Texas)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might simplify our work regarding development plans.
  • Yet, it's crucial to consult stakeholders to avoid unintended consequences.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Farmer (Oklahoma)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Without all the bureaucratic hurdles, we could expand operations more easily.
  • Still, we should find ways to be good stewards of the land.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 4

Ecologist (Colorado)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy threatens not just the lesser prairie-chicken but a host of species dependent on these habitats.
  • We risk losing a beautiful and integral part of our ecosystem.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 9
Year 2 5 9
Year 3 5 8
Year 5 4 8
Year 10 3 7
Year 20 2 6

Energy Policy Analyst (New Mexico)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • From an industry perspective, this removes significant barriers to development.
  • There needs to be a careful assessment of long-term ecological impacts too.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $12000000 (Low: $9000000, High: $15000000)

Year 3: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $13000000)

Year 5: $8000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $11000000)

Year 10: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 100: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $3000000)

Key Considerations