Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9441

Bill Overview

Title: Identifying Mass Shooters Act

Description: This bill requires the National Institute of Justice (NIJ) to report to Congress on the content patterns used by mass shooters through online platforms and social media channels. Additionally, the bill directs the NIJ to identify items for further study that are identified in the report. Finally, the bill requires the NIJ to submit findings and federal legislative recommendations to Congress.

Sponsors: Rep. Mfume, Kweisi [D-MD-7]

Target Audience

Population: People who use online platforms and social media

Estimated Size: 231000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Developer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about the invasion of privacy with these types of laws.
  • It's important to ensure technology is used ethically in gathering this data.
  • I hope there's transparency about how information is collected and used.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 6 6

Marketing Specialist (Austin, TX)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's good if it helps prevent shootings.
  • I'm not very concerned as long as it doesn't disrupt my work or privacy unnecessarily.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 5

Social Media Manager (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see the value in identifying dangerous behaviors.
  • There might be an impact on how platforms operate, which could affect my strategies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 7

Law Enforcement Officer (Boston, MA)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could provide invaluable insights into preventing violence.
  • Balancing security and privacy is crucial, though.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 4

University Student (Chicago, IL)

Age: 22 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There are concerns about freedom of expression.
  • Transparency on how findings are used is important.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 5

Data Scientist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • When used wisely, this policy could help improve safety.
  • Maintaining ethical standards is very important.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't mind if it improves safety.
  • I don't use social media much, worried about my grandchildren though.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

Non-Profit Director (Miami, FL)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Balancing surveillance with privacy is tricky.
  • This could inform better legislative actions if handled correctly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Influencer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Very concerned about potential impacts on social media reach.
  • Wary of anything that could change current engagement dynamics.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 5 7

Teacher (Denver, CO)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If handled correctly, this policy can be educational.
  • It's important for students to learn online engagement safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 2: $4500000 (Low: $3500000, High: $5500000)

Year 3: $4000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $5000000)

Year 5: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $4000000)

Year 10: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $1500000)

Year 100: $100000 (Low: $50000, High: $150000)

Key Considerations