Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9431

Bill Overview

Title: Second Look Act of 2022

Description: 2022 This bill allows a defendant who has served at least 10 years in prison to petition a federal court for a sentence reduction. Specifically, a court may reduce the prison term for a defendant if (1) the imposed prison term was more than 10 years; (2) the defendant has served at least 10 years in custody; and (3) the court finds that the defendant is not a danger to public safety, is ready for reentry, and the interests of justice warrant a sentence modification. The bill outlines the factors a court may consider in reducing a prison term. Further, the bill creates a rebuttable presumption of release for a defendant who is 50 years of age or older on the date of the petition.

Sponsors: Rep. Bass, Karen [D-CA-37]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals serving more than 10 years in federal prison worldwide

Estimated Size: 75000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

former electrician (Chicago, IL)

Age: 53 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy will help me reintegrate better into society.
  • I worry about finding a job and rebuilding my life after all this time.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

retired teacher (Miami, FL)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The possibility of release brings hope for spending time with my grandchildren.
  • However, I am concerned about my health care post-release.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 4
Year 5 7 3
Year 10 6 2
Year 20 4 1

mechanic (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy helps people like me who have worked hard to rehabilitate themselves.
  • I'm optimistic about starting anew, but I know it won't be easy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 5 4

sales associate (New York, NY)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm anxious about reentry, especially regarding my financial record.
  • I hope this policy helps me gain a second chance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 4

business owner (Houston, TX)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could help reduce unnecessary incarceration.
  • I’m hopeful about contributing positively to my community again.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

healthcare worker (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Early release would help me reconnect with my children.
  • I am afraid of societal judgment impacting my future opportunities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

construction worker (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope to use my skills to help others avoid mistakes like mine.
  • The reentry process seems daunting but I'm optimistic.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

artist (Detroit, MI)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill gives people like me a second shot at life.
  • I'm excited and nervous about how I'll be received on the outside.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

chef (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see this policy as a way to rebuild my life.
  • It's a big change to adjust to life after such a long time.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

non-profit coordinator (Portland, OR)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I look forward to continuing my advocacy work outside.
  • This policy reflects society's shift towards rehabilitation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $25000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $35000000)

Year 2: $20000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $28000000)

Year 3: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 5: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Year 10: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Year 100: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Key Considerations