Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9428

Bill Overview

Title: Graduate on Your Own Schedule Act

Description: This bill requires the Department of Education to make grants to local educational agencies for assisting eligible secondary school dropouts in reentering a secondary school or entering a general educational development program and providing these individuals with support services. Eligible secondary school dropout refers to an individual who is between the ages of 16 and 24 and who is not enrolled in a secondary school or general educational development program.

Sponsors: Rep. Lynch, Stephen F. [D-MA-8]

Target Audience

Population: Secondary School Dropouts Aged 16-24 Not in School or GED Programs

Estimated Size: 2000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Unemployed (Atlanta, Georgia)

Age: 19 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the policy will help people like me to get back into school.
  • I've been wanting to take the GED but couldn't afford it.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Part-time retail worker (Austin, Texas)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems like a great opportunity to get back on track.
  • I had no idea how to return to school before.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Manufacturing worker (Detroit, Michigan)

Age: 24 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've wanted to go back to get my GED but life gets in the way.
  • If this program can help with time and cost, I'd be very interested.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 5 3
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 7 5

Aspiring musician (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 20 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I probably won't take advantage of this policy because it's not aligned with my goals.
  • I see value, but not for me personally.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Freelancer (New York, New York)

Age: 17 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope the policy considers alternative learning environments.
  • Support services could help me if they include mental health support.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Entrepreneur (Miami, Florida)

Age: 23 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm doing well on my current path, so I don't need the program.
  • For others more focused on traditional employment, it could be very beneficial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

None (Chicago, Illinois)

Age: 18 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I really want to finish school to get a decent job.
  • The support services are key for people like me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 6

Barista (Portland, Oregon)

Age: 21 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The idea of getting help to get qualifications is appealing.
  • It could open doors for better jobs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 8 6

Farmhand (Rural Alabama)

Age: 22 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 2

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Access to education in a supportive environment would be amazing.
  • I hope the policy includes rural areas like mine.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 2
Year 2 4 2
Year 3 5 2
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 8 5

High school dropout, currently unemployed (San Francisco, California)

Age: 17 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could really help with my current situation.
  • I need more than just education, psychological support too.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 5 3
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000000 (Low: $4000000000, High: $6000000000)

Year 2: $5200000000 (Low: $4200000000, High: $6200000000)

Year 3: $5408000000 (Low: $4368000000, High: $6408000000)

Year 5: $5820870000 (Low: $4700870000, High: $6820870000)

Year 10: $6748872650 (Low: $5510872650, High: $7778872650)

Year 100: $215901854671 (Low: $176081854671, High: $249701854671)

Key Considerations