Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9422

Bill Overview

Title: Crypto Consumer Investor Protection Act

Description: This bill prohibits a cryptocurrency exchange from lending, leveraging, or comingling customer funds without customer consent.

Sponsors: Rep. Torres, Ritchie [D-NY-15]

Target Audience

Population: Cryptocurrency investors and traders

Estimated Size: 50000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Developer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The new policy will increase my confidence as I often worry about how exchanges handle my funds.
  • Better regulation is definitely needed for the crypto industry.
  • I might increase my investment following this policy, as fund mishandling is a big concern for me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Financial Advisor (Austin, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is a step in the right direction for protecting my clients' investments.
  • It adds a layer of trust that I can use to convince more conservative clients to enter the crypto market.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

Cryptocurrency Trader (New York, NY)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I understand the need for such a policy, over-regulation could impact market fluidity.
  • There might be fewer arbitrage opportunities, but I'd appreciate the increase in security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

College Professor (Seattle, WA)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see it as a necessary move towards standardizing how crypto companies operate.
  • Personally, it doesn't affect me much, but I support better consumer protection.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Student (Miami, FL)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a new investor, the policy reassures me about the safety of my funds.
  • I might consider increasing my crypto investments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Entrepreneur (Chicago, IL)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might limit certain financial tools but importantly offers security to our business funds.
  • I believe it's a fair trade-off for stability and reassurance in volatile times.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 4

Freelancer (Denver, CO)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy addresses some fear I have about crypto fund misuse.
  • I might feel more comfortable increasing my crypto holdings.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Lawyer (Boston, MA)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a wise move toward increased accountability and transparency for crypto platforms.
  • My work is likely to become more focused on crypto cases.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Content Creator (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am relatively unaffected as I manage most payouts immediately into cash.
  • I support the policy as it adds credibility to my payments, ensuring they are backed securely.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Retired (Las Vegas, NV)

Age: 52 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy adds another aspect of security to my investment portfolio, which I appreciate.
  • I feel more secure about allocating more funds to various cryptocurrencies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $600000000)

Year 2: $550000000 (Low: $450000000, High: $650000000)

Year 3: $575000000 (Low: $475000000, High: $675000000)

Year 5: $600000000 (Low: $500000000, High: $700000000)

Year 10: $650000000 (Low: $550000000, High: $750000000)

Year 100: $700000000 (Low: $600000000, High: $800000000)

Key Considerations