Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9421

Bill Overview

Title: Crypto Exchange Disclosure Act

Description: This bill requires cryptocurrency exchanges that hold customer assets to periodically disclose proof of reserves to the Securities and Exchange Commission. This includes the amount of assets held by the exchange compared to the liabilities of the exchange.

Sponsors: Rep. Torres, Ritchie [D-NY-15]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals using cryptocurrency exchanges

Estimated Size: 40000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Developer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this new policy is a good step toward assurance for our users.
  • It might mean more work on my end to implement the necessary reporting tools, but I see it as crucial for transparency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Institutional Investor (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy should help in better assessing the risk associated with investing in various exchanges.
  • This level of transparency was much needed in the crypto space; it should help stabilize it.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 9 3
Year 20 9 3

Cryptocurrency Trader (Austin, TX)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm cautiously optimistic about the policy; initially, it might slow down transactions if compliance creates a bottleneck.
  • Long-term I hope it assures the stability of my assets.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 4

Compliance Officer (Miami, FL)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The task of compliance has grown enormous; however, the policy should ensure our long-term stability and credibility.
  • We may face costs in the short term for compliance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 4

Independent Financial Advisor (Chicago, IL)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Greater transparency means less speculation and improved advising for my clients.
  • While it may create regulatory bloat at first, in the end, it's beneficial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 4

College Student (Seattle, WA)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy sounds good for keeping exchanges honest.
  • For someone like me, transparency is valuable but I'm just a small player.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Tech Entrepreneur (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Though the policy brings transparency, it could increase operational costs for companies like mine that deal with exchanges.
  • We'll need to adapt but it's a necessary process.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Retiree (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy may stabilize the market, which is beneficial for my investments.
  • I'm glad to see regulations catching up with the crypto market.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Freelance Journalist (Portland, OR)

Age: 33 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy offers substantial content potential for market analysis and reporting.
  • While it may complicate some aspects of reporting until everything settles, it generally seems beneficial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Digital Artist (Denver, CO)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's reassuring to know exchanges have to prove they hold what they say.
  • I haven't had any issues, but I'll feel safer as regulations require transparency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $40000000 (Low: $35000000, High: $45000000)

Year 2: $42000000 (Low: $37000000, High: $47000000)

Year 3: $44000000 (Low: $39000000, High: $49000000)

Year 5: $48000000 (Low: $42000000, High: $54000000)

Year 10: $58000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $66000000)

Year 100: $148000000 (Low: $127000000, High: $169000000)

Key Considerations