Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9385

Bill Overview

Title: DITCH Act

Description: This bill denies an organization a tax exemption if it holds any interest in a disqualified Chinese company or fails to timely transmit required annual reports. A disqualified Chinese company is any corporation incorporated in China, or that invests more than 10% of its stock in certain Chinese entities, including entities controlled by the Chinese Communist Party. The Department of the Treasury may grant organizations a waiver of the denial of the tax exemption under specified circumstances. Organizations that hold any interest in a disqualified Chinese company must file annual reports describing each interest held in the company, the period during which such interest was held, and whether the organization has been granted a waiver.

Sponsors: Rep. Gallagher, Mike [R-WI-8]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals associated with organizations holding investments in disqualified Chinese companies

Estimated Size: 1000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Non-profit CEO (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy forces us to rethink our investment strategy.
  • Losing tax exemption means reallocating funds from operational budgets if we don't divest.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 4 8
Year 5 4 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 9

Non-profit financial officer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The DITCH Act could severely cripple our financial growth plans.
  • Concerned about how it affects both immediate and long-term financial health.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 5 8
Year 5 5 9
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 7 9

Strategic investment consultant (Boston, MA)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This will complicate investment advising and require more stringent reporting.
  • Could push organizations to reconsider familiar yet high-risk portfolios.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Small business owner (Chicago, IL)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Indirectly affects us; if non-profits lose tax benefits, our business might suffer.
  • Potential loss of clientele depends on whether they divest strategically.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

Non-profit fundraiser (Austin, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Worried about our ability to attract large donors if their tax situations worsen.
  • Need to strategize for sustainable funding without depending heavily on affected funds.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 8

University professor (Seattle, WA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Important to critically evaluate the cost of certain investments in regions like China.
  • The act adds complexity to research involving Chinese economic data.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Policy analyst (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is a necessary consideration in the geopolitical landscape.
  • Expect organizations to prioritize compliance but might challenge smaller entities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

Corporate lawyer (Miami, FL)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Law will complicate compliance frameworks, increasing demand for legal advisory.
  • Ensures organizations strategically handle foreign investments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Retired non-profit director (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy could encourage healthier investment practices for non-profits.
  • Worried about smaller organizations lacking resources to manage sudden changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 9
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 8 9

Environmental activist (Denver, CO)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Foundation partnerships may be strained if their tax benefits are threatened.
  • Ultimately could affect our environmental initiatives if not resolved.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $12000000 (Low: $9000000, High: $15000000)

Year 3: $12000000 (Low: $9000000, High: $15000000)

Year 5: $12000000 (Low: $9000000, High: $15000000)

Year 10: $12000000 (Low: $9000000, High: $15000000)

Year 100: $12000000 (Low: $9000000, High: $15000000)

Key Considerations