Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9368

Bill Overview

Title: Helping End Lifetime Penalties Act of 2022

Description: This bill limits certain Medicare late enrollment penalties to 12 months (rather than for the lifetime of coverage).

Sponsors: Rep. Gohmert, Louie [R-TX-1]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals subject to Medicare late enrollment penalties

Estimated Size: 6000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Retired teacher (Dallas, TX)

Age: 68 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I wish I had known the penalties were so high before delaying.
  • This policy is a great relief if it means I won't have to pay the extra fees forever.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Retired nurse (Burlington, VT)

Age: 72 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The penalties are quite a burden on my limited income.
  • Great to see some relief coming, I could use the savings on essentials.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Retired postal worker (Miami, FL)

Age: 78 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's tough balancing all the expenses in retirement.
  • This feels like a step towards fairness for those of us who missed out initially.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 3
Year 2 6 3
Year 3 7 3
Year 5 7 3
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 7 4

Retired accountant (Charleston, SC)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It seems unfair to penalize those who miss deadlines due to unforeseen circumstances.
  • Happy to see the policy easing our financial burdens.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Retired journalist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 70 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Understanding enrollment periods was incredibly confusing.
  • I'm relieved this policy might ease my financial burden.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Retired librarian (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 75 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The penalty has been an extra stress.
  • This policy provides some much-needed relief.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 3
Year 2 6 3
Year 3 6 3
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 7 4

Retired engineer (Minneapolis, MN)

Age: 66 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I found the penalties manageable, lifting them will definitely free up some funds for travel.
  • I'm glad others who struggle more might see significant benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired farmer (Rural Kansas)

Age: 80 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I regret ignoring the reminders but what's done is done.
  • Glad for the policy, it's about time they limit penalties.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Retired lawyer (New York, NY)

Age: 73 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The decision was strategic on my part to delay.
  • However, reducing penalties would definitely aid us financially.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Retired actor (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 67 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 9.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Missed the initial enrollment due to unsteady employment.
  • This policy could help stabilize my financial outlook.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1000000000 (Low: $800000000, High: $1200000000)

Year 2: $1000000000 (Low: $800000000, High: $1200000000)

Year 3: $1000000000 (Low: $800000000, High: $1200000000)

Year 5: $1000000000 (Low: $800000000, High: $1200000000)

Year 10: $1000000000 (Low: $800000000, High: $1200000000)

Year 100: $1000000000 (Low: $800000000, High: $1200000000)

Key Considerations