Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9305

Bill Overview

Title: Justice for Local Communities and Workers Act

Description: This bill expands the notification requirement for plant closures and mass layoffs under the Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification Act to include notices to Members of Congress. The bill provides that an employer's notice of a plant closing or mass layoff shall not be considered valid unless the employer, prior to serving such notice, covers the cost of an economic impact study to assess the economic impact of such an order. An employer who is not experiencing economic hardship and who orders a plant closing or mass layoff must make payments to the Impacted Workers Fund, created by this bill, to cover the financial losses of states resulting from such an order.

Sponsors: Rep. DeSaulnier, Mark [D-CA-11]

Target Audience

Population: People employed in industries vulnerable to mass layoffs and plant closures

Estimated Size: 2000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Automotive Assembler (Detroit, Michigan)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy gives us a bit of a security net. But during a closure, uncertainty still looms until support kicks in.
  • The obligation for employers to study economic impact is good but might delay the inevitable sometimes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Retail Store Manager (Orlando, Florida)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about closures, but this policy helps ease those fears a little.
  • It's good that companies need to be upfront about impacts, might lead to more thoughtful decisions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Software Engineer (San Jose, California)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It might create more stability in tech where layoffs can be random.
  • Paying for economic impact studies might slow down business efficiency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Steel Plant Worker (Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could be a lifeline if things close. The idea of a cushion is encouraging.
  • Worried about how quickly funds can be accessed in crises.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 4

Warehouse Worker (Dallas, Texas)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy adds a layer of protection that we didn't have before.
  • It might not completely stop layoffs but helps with the transition.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Barista (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Big plant closures get more attention than small businesses like coffee shops.
  • Maybe communities will face lesser impacts of big layoffs, but unclear how small employers are affected.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Union Representative (Buffalo, New York)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill can protect our members better by holding companies accountable.
  • We've fought for such support, but it must be well-implemented to work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Electronics Manufacturing Supervisor (Indianapolis, Indiana)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy will make us plan better for any shifts.
  • Costs for studies and fund might restrict operational budgets.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

IT Support Specialist (Raleigh, North Carolina)

Age: 30 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Recently jobless friends back home need this kind of policy to cushion the blow.
  • Seeing how plant closures left areas stranded, the fund’s critical for recovery.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Factory Owner (Cleveland, Ohio)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy intentions are good but financially burdensome for small factories like ours.
  • Having to pay for impact evaluations adds pressure to already tight budgets.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $600000000 (Low: $450000000, High: $800000000)

Year 2: $550000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $750000000)

Year 3: $550000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $750000000)

Year 5: $550000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $750000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations