Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9301

Bill Overview

Title: FinCEN Modernization Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) to establish programs and perform research related to financial technology, including topics such as machine learning, data analytics, and cryptocurrency. The bill allows FinCEN to enter into transactions and to accept gifts related to these objectives.

Sponsors: Rep. Donalds, Byron [R-FL-19]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals involved with or using financial technology services globally

Estimated Size: 20000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Compliance Officer at a large bank (New York, NY)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The modernization could streamline many compliance tasks, making my job easier.
  • There's potential for improved accuracy in detecting suspicious activity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Software Engineer at a fintech startup (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The act could open up funding opportunities for research and development.
  • I'm excited about the potential for collaboration with FinCEN.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

Cryptocurrency Trader (Chicago, IL)

Age: 45 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Regulation can be a double-edged sword: necessary but potentially restrictive.
  • Better data tools would definitely help manage risk better.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Financial Advisor (Dallas, TX)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could reassure clients about the safety and legitimacy of crypto investments.
  • Modernization might simplify some of the reporting work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

General Public User of Fintech Apps (Seattle, WA)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If security improves, I'll feel even more confident using these apps.
  • I hope this doesn't lead to more cumbersome regulations for simple users like me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Retired (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about scams; more security would help protect my retirement savings.
  • I hope costs don't increase as a result of new regulations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Data Analyst at a tech firm (Boston, MA)

Age: 30 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might increase demand for data-driven solutions, which could boost my career.
  • There's potential for innovative projects that could emerge from this modernization.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

Customer Support Specialist at a fintech company (Miami, FL)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could mean we need less time resolving security concerns.
  • I'd like to see more trust from customers due to improved security measures.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Small Business Owner (Austin, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Enhanced financial tech may streamline my payment processes.
  • I hope it addresses privacy concerns from clients about digital pay systems.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

App Developer for Fintech (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Access to machine learning resources would expand our app capabilities.
  • I'm hopeful about the opportunities for partnership with FinCEN.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $12000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $15000000)

Year 3: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $14000000)

Year 5: $9000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $12000000)

Year 10: $8000000 (Low: $6000000, High: $10000000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $3500000, High: $8000000)

Key Considerations