Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9280

Bill Overview

Title: To prohibit the provision of Federal funds to a local educational agency that imposes or enforces a COVID-19 vaccine mandate on students at the schools served by such agency.

Description: This bill prohibits a local educational agency (LEA) from receiving federal funds if the LEA imposes or enforces a COVID-19 vaccine requirement on students at public elementary and secondary schools under the jurisdiction of the LEA.

Sponsors: Rep. Van Drew, Jefferson [R-NJ-2]

Target Audience

Population: Students at public elementary and secondary schools

Estimated Size: 50800000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Student (New York, NY)

Age: 15 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about my school's funding if they lose federal aid.
  • I understand the importance of vaccines, but I also want my school to have enough resources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Teacher (Austin, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If funding is cut, our programs could suffer, impacting student education.
  • Health safety is critical, but so is education quality.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

School Principal (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy puts schools like ours in a difficult position between public health and funding.
  • Balancing mandates with keeping our school funded will be a challenge.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Parent (Columbus, OH)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about how this policy might affect my children's education if funding is cut.
  • Vaccine mandates are important, but so is having a fully functioning school.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 8

School Nurse (Miami, FL)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ensuring that all students are vaccinated is crucial for public health.
  • Losing funding could make it hard to maintain health programs at school.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 9

School District Administrator (Seattle, WA)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill forces us to weigh public health against critical funding.
  • We'll need to find ways to compensate for potential losses in federal funding.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Student (Chicago, IL)

Age: 17 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This affects my school activities and clubs if we lose funding.
  • I'd like my school to keep the mandates, but it's hard if funding is cut.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Parent (Birmingham, AL)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm less concerned with mandates since our schools don't enforce them.
  • Our main worry is any disruption this policy might cause indirectly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Superintendent (Denver, CO)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We have to navigate maintaining student safety without sacrificing funding.
  • Strategic planning is essential to bridge gaps if support from this bill is reduced.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

State Education Official (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our schools require stable federal funding, especially in larger districts.
  • Mandate decisions will deeply affect funding and operational capabilities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 8
Year 2 5 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $2000000000 (Low: $1000000000, High: $3000000000)

Year 2: $1980000000 (Low: $990000000, High: $2970000000)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations