Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9263

Bill Overview

Title: Expose BIDEN Act

Description: This bill requires the Government Accountability Office to determine the impact on the U.S. economy of each major rule issued after 12 p.m. on January 20, 2021. Any major rule that is determined to increase inflation or cause a decline in the gross domestic product must be rescinded.

Sponsors: Rep. Clyde, Andrew S. [R-GA-9]

Target Audience

Population: people globally as they are indirectly affected by US economic policies

Estimated Size: 332000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Financial Analyst (New York City, NY)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about policy reversals that could destabilize markets.
  • The checks on inflation are necessary, but abrupt changes to major laws could be disruptive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Small Business Owner (Topeka, KS)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any policy that helps control inflation could be beneficial for my business.
  • I'm worried that some rescinded rules might increase costs or regulations unexpectedly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Software Developer (Portland, OR)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's unclear how this policy might directly impact the tech industry, but I'm watching closely.
  • Policy changes might impact job opportunities based on how the economy reacts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 8

Retired (Miami, FL)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Inflation eats into my fixed income; controlling it is critical.
  • But rescinding major rules too quickly could lead to instability in social services.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Healthcare Worker (Houston, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Healthcare regulations are critical, and sudden rescinding of rules could be harmful.
  • However, controlling GDP and inflation might support further investment in healthcare.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Tech Entrepreneur (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any policy affecting the economic landscape impacts startup viability.
  • Control over inflation is crucial for tech investments, but sudden policy changes are concerning.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Recent College Graduate (Chicago, IL)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Lowering inflation might make living costs more manageable and help job prospects.
  • I hope policy changes don't reduce job growth areas.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Automotive Factory Worker (Detroit, MI)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Changes to rules affecting auto industry need careful handling.
  • Inflation control is welcomed but not if it means long-term job uncertainty.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Farmer (Rural Alabama)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Rolling back regulations might affect subsidies negatively.
  • Managing inflation could help costs but policy uncertainty is daunting.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Environmental Scientist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Environmental regulations rescinded due to economic interference could harm ecosystems.
  • Finding a balance between the economy and environment is crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $250000000 (Low: $175000000, High: $325000000)

Year 2: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $270000000)

Year 3: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $270000000)

Year 5: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $270000000)

Year 10: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $270000000)

Year 100: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $270000000)

Key Considerations