Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9256

Bill Overview

Title: U.S.-Israel Anti-Killer Drone Act of 2022

Description: This bill adds a requirement for the Department of Defense to report to Congress, as part of the U.S.-Israeli defense cooperation program to counter unmanned aerial systems, the status of U.S.-Israeli cooperation in counter-unmanned aerial system capabilities.  The bill also adds a requirement to report an assessment of Iranian unmanned aerial system threats.

Sponsors: Rep. Gottheimer, Josh [D-NJ-5]

Target Audience

Population: People potentially impacted by unmanned aerial system operations in US-Israeli conflict zones

Estimated Size: 120000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Department of Defense Analyst (Washington D.C.)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy enhances our ability to proactively address aerial threats.
  • It provides a framework for more structured cooperation with Israel.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Privacy Rights Advocate (New York)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am worried this will expand surveillance beyond military targets.
  • There needs to be a firm balance between security and privacy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Defense Contractor Executive (California)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy significantly increases business opportunities in the field.
  • It aligns with my company’s strategic goals in tech development.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 10 8
Year 20 10 8

Air Force Pilot (Texas)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Improving counter-unmanned systems is crucial to our safety.
  • This policy has a direct impact on mission success and safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Retired Military Personnel (Florida)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Military strategies like these need continuous reassessment.
  • I believe enhanced cooperation could lead to faster response times.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Tech Industry Professional (Virginia)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy opens doors for innovation in tech applied to defense.
  • It may push us to reconsider user privacy in tech applications.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Civil Liberties Researcher (Arizona)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am concerned about the policy’s implications on privacy rights.
  • Continuous checks are necessary to ensure rights aren’t compromised.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Military Base Operations Manager (Alaska)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy aligns with our focus on robust drone defense.
  • Operational challenges will increase, but that’s expected.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Graduate Student (Ohio)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could shape my future work in drone policy studies.
  • It’s critical that we dissect the social impacts of such policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Retired Intelligence Officer (New Mexico)

Age: 60 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a strategic necessity given the evolving threats.
  • I hope this encourages more technological sharing and collaboration.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $7000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $10000000)

Year 2: $7250000 (Low: $5150000, High: $10300000)

Year 3: $7500000 (Low: $5300000, High: $10600000)

Year 5: $8000000 (Low: $5500000, High: $11000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations