Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9244

Bill Overview

Title: Supporting Market Access to Reinvigorate Trade Act of 2022

Description: SMART Act This bill increases through FY2029 funding to carry out the Market Access Program and the Foreign Market Development Cooperator Program, which are programs administered by the Department of Agriculture to promote exports of U.S. agricultural products.

Sponsors: Rep. Costa, Jim [D-CA-16]

Target Audience

Population: People reliant on U.S. agricultural exports

Estimated Size: 3000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Corn Farmer (Iowa)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this policy could open up new markets for my corn, potentially increasing revenue.
  • I am concerned about the increasing competition, but more opportunities abroad could mean more profits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Almond Exporter (California)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased funding could help offset logistical costs to new markets, helping my business grow.
  • The policy seems promising for expansion, but execution is key to see real benefits.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Agricultural Economist (New York)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill could invigorate U.S. market presence internationally if implemented effectively.
  • There's a need for measurable impact assessments to truly gauge its success over time.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Cattle Rancher (Texas)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The international meat market is very competitive, so any aid in opening doors helps.
  • I hope the funding truly reaches the operations level where it's needed most.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Soybean Farmer (Kansas)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Elevated funding brings hope, especially with recent drops in soybean prices.
  • Long-term engagement with foreign markets could stabilize income.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Agricultural Cooperatives Manager (Nebraska)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Streamlining market access will be beneficial, though there's uncertainty in administration.
  • Cooperatives stand to build better relationships with global partners.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Peach Farmer (Georgia)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's critical to see funding support the local farms venturing into exports.
  • Diversifying markets can hedge against local market volatility.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Apple Orchardist (Washington)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Adapting to foreign consumer preferences will be an opportunity and challenge.
  • Sustainability in exports needs to match the push for market access.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Citrus Grower (Florida)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Expanding exports is crucial, especially given domestic citrus challenges.
  • The policy is a step in the right direction, but requires robust implementation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Agricultural Policy Analyst (Illinois)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The intended outcomes are positive, contingent on cross-sector collaboration.
  • An effective feedback mechanism for farmers would ensure policy efficiency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $300000000 (Low: $275000000, High: $325000000)

Year 2: $315000000 (Low: $290000000, High: $340000000)

Year 3: $330000000 (Low: $305000000, High: $355000000)

Year 5: $360000000 (Low: $335000000, High: $385000000)

Year 10: $400000000 (Low: $370000000, High: $430000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations