Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9240

Bill Overview

Title: Concerned Citizens Bill of Rights Act

Description: This bill requires state and local governments, as a condition of certain grant funding, to annually (1) report on any of their policies that result in a lack of law enforcement or prosecution of criminal offenses, and (2) certify that they do not have any policies that prohibit money bail for felonies or violent misdemeanors.

Sponsors: Rep. Banks, Jim [R-IN-3]

Target Audience

Population: people interacting with or affected by the criminal justice system

Estimated Size: 50000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Unemployed (Oakland, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy seems like a step backward, enforcing money bail makes it hard for people like me to stay out of jail while waiting for a trial.
  • Concerned about ending up back in jail just because I can't afford bail.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 5
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

School Teacher (Columbus, OH)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If it improves accountability in local law enforcement, it might make our community safer, but I'm worried about those who can't afford bail.
  • It's a balance between safety and fairness; the policy doesn't address the root causes of crime.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Probation Officer (New York, NY)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Enforcing bail might reduce jail overcrowding but increases stress on the system and affects my work monitoring those on pre-trial release.
  • Worried about an increase in caseloads and repeat offenders.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

College Student (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 21 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy feels like it's targeting minority communities adversely, especially those from lower socioeconomic backgrounds.
  • It makes me think about safety, but also justice and equality.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 8
Year 5 4 9
Year 10 5 9
Year 20 6 9

Retired (Chicago, IL)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about crime rates, but fairness in the justice system is equally important.
  • Concerned that this might lead to further injustices for those who can't afford bail.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 4 7
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Police Officer (Austin, TX)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Supporting this policy could make my job harder or easier depending on the enforcement and public reaction.
  • Potential to restore some public trust, but also could complicate community relations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Defense Attorney (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see it as a step back from bail reform efforts, affecting those unable to pay bail disproportionately.
  • Worried about the added burden on our system and clients.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Retail Worker (Detroit, MI)

Age: 19 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I fear getting stuck in jail if I can't make bail for something minor again.
  • Feels like a punishment for being poor.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 3 6
Year 5 4 7
Year 10 4 8
Year 20 5 8

Public Health Researcher (Houston, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Strengthening community support systems could be more effective than enforcing money bail.
  • Concern for how this policy may exacerbate health disparities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 7

Judge (Miami, FL)

Age: 58 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might streamline certain aspects but could also complicate bail hearings.
  • Need judicial discretion safeguarded to ensure justice.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $100000000 (Low: $70000000, High: $130000000)

Year 2: $102000000 (Low: $71400000, High: $132600000)

Year 3: $104040000 (Low: $72828000, High: $135252000)

Year 5: $108160000 (Low: $75632000, High: $140608000)

Year 10: $115928000 (Low: $81149600, High: $150705600)

Year 100: $222197056 (Low: $155537939, High: $280856173)

Key Considerations