Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9238

Bill Overview

Title: Border Patrol First Act

Description: This bill transfers $240 million previously made available to the Department of State for refugee and humanitarian assistance to the Department of Homeland Security. The transferred funds shall be available (1) for U.S. Customs and Border Protection activities, and (2) to reimburse the states of Texas and Arizona for activities related to border security.

Sponsors: Rep. Van Duyne, Beth [R-TX-24]

Target Audience

Population: People who are refugees or reliant on U.S. humanitarian assistance

Estimated Size: 16700000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Border Patrol Agent (Tucson, Arizona)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy is necessary for our state's safety.
  • The additional funds could help reduce illegal crossings.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 6 5

College Student (El Paso, Texas)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry that this policy could lead to more aggressive border enforcement.
  • The decrease in humanitarian aid is troubling for vulnerable communities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 5

Director of Refugee Support NGO (New York City, New York)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Cutting funds to humanitarian aid hurts the most vulnerable.
  • Our organization's ability to help families is significantly reduced.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 7
Year 2 4 7
Year 3 3 7
Year 5 3 7
Year 10 3 6
Year 20 3 5

State Government Official (Austin, Texas)

Age: 51 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This funding is essential for enhancing Texas's border security.
  • We need more resources to manage the state border effectively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 7 5

Small Business Owner (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased border security might deter crime but impact our flow of customers from Mexico.
  • I'm hopeful for better safety but worried about business losses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 4 5

Refugee (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 30 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 1/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The cut in humanitarian aid could have severe consequences for my community.
  • We rely on these funds to build our new lives in America.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 2 3
Year 2 2 4
Year 3 1 5
Year 5 1 5
Year 10 1 6
Year 20 1 7

International Policy Analyst (Washington D.C.)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy places domestic priorities over global responsibilities.
  • Long-term impacts could reduce U.S. credibility in international aid.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 5

Retired School Teacher (Brownsville, Texas)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this policy will make our community safer.
  • I worry about the tension it might cause with immigrant communities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 4

Farm Worker (Nogales, Arizona)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased border security might make commuting more difficult for work.
  • I’m concerned how this will affect my work and movement.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 4
Year 2 3 4
Year 3 3 4
Year 5 3 4
Year 10 3 4
Year 20 3 4

Nurse (Houston, Texas)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Cutting funds from humanitarian aid will impact the health services we provide.
  • Our clinic might lose critical funding as a result.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 3 6
Year 5 3 6
Year 10 3 6
Year 20 3 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations