Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/923

Bill Overview

Title: To support the independence, sovereignty, and territorial integrity of the Republic of Georgia, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill requires sanctions and reports related to Georgia. The President shall impose entry and property-blocking sanctions against foreign persons responsible for or complicit in serious human rights abuses in the Georgian regions of Abkhazia and Tskhinvali Region/South Ossetia that are occupied by Russia. The President shall also report to Congress every 180 days on such foreign persons. The Department of State shall report to Congress on various topics related to Georgia. The reports shall cover (1) U.S. security assistance to Georgia and an assessment of threats to the country's independence and its ability to defend itself, (2) cybersecurity cooperation between the United States and Georgia, (3) a strategy to help Georgia expand its capabilities to combat Russian disinformation and propaganda, and (4) U.S. democracy and governance assistance to Georgia.

Sponsors: Rep. Connolly, Gerald E. [D-VA-11]

Target Audience

Population: People in the Republic of Georgia and impacted foreign individuals

Estimated Size: 5000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Foreign Policy Analyst (Washington, DC)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy emphasizes security and democracy assistance, which aligns with strategic interests in the region.
  • It enhances focus on countering Russian disinformation, crucial for our allies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Cybersecurity Specialist (New York, NY)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased cooperation with Georgia could create new opportunities for cybersecurity work.
  • However, the policy might only modestly benefit those not directly involved with government contracts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

NGO Worker (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 36 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill supports the causes we advocate for by strengthening democratic processes in Georgia.
  • Sanctions could deter human rights abuses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 7 6

International Business Consultant (Chicago, IL)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Sanctions might lead to complexities in international business dealings.
  • Potential impacts on companies I advise.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 5

Journalist (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy provides material for analysis and reporting.
  • Broadens the geopolitical focus of media coverage.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Graduate Student (Boston, MA)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Provides new material for my research.
  • May enhance scholarly discourse on regional policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Defense Contractor (Miami, FL)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased emphasis on security assistance aligns with defense interests.
  • Potential for new contracts concerning Georgia.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Oil and Gas Executive (Houston, TX)

Age: 53 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Sanctions could affect energy markets temporarily, especially in relation to Russia.
  • Long-term impacts might include shifts in resource distribution.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 5 7

Human Rights Advocate (Seattle, WA)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy strengthens human rights advocacy.
  • Provides momentum for promoting justice in contested regions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Technology Consultant (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Cybersecurity cooperation underscores growing tech importance.
  • New opportunities to improve international tech practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $3500000 (Low: $3000000, High: $4000000)

Year 2: $3600000 (Low: $3100000, High: $4100000)

Year 3: $3700000 (Low: $3200000, High: $4200000)

Year 5: $3900000 (Low: $3400000, High: $4400000)

Year 10: $4400000 (Low: $3900000, High: $4900000)

Year 100: $12800000 (Low: $10400000, High: $15200000)

Key Considerations