Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9212

Bill Overview

Title: Domestic Terrorist Murder Act (DTMA) of 2022

Description: This bill requires life imprisonment without parole or death for domestic terrorist murder. Domestic terrorist murder is murder committed by an individual (1) who is a member of a criminal street gang; or (2) who is or has been associated with an organization or group that has caused more than $500,000 in damages by virtue of protests, riots, or other destructive actions.

Sponsors: Rep. Gohmert, Louie [R-TX-1]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals associated with criminal gangs or groups causing significant damages

Estimated Size: 1000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Police Officer (New York City, NY)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As an officer, I believe this policy could deter potential criminals involved in severe acts, especially amid gang conflicts.
  • The threat of life imprisonment or death may lead to reduced violence over time.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Community Organizer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The law might be too harsh and could lead to more mistrust within communities, potentially affecting young people who feel targeted.
  • There might be better ways to address root causes, like youth programs and education.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Ex-gang member and reformed activist (Chicago, IL)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this policy doesn't address the reasons why people join gangs or get involved with destructive protests in the first place.
  • There should be more focus on rehabilitation and integration.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 5

Retail Worker (Portland, OR)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the need to prevent destruction, but I'm concerned about the implications on freedom of expression and assembly.
  • Heavy penalties might not stop desperate individuals.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Farmer (Rural Alabama)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy doesn't affect my day-to-day life at all.
  • I support tough measures for those committing serious crimes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

School Principal (Baltimore, MD)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like this could make schools safer if fewer youth choose gang life.
  • Still, these policies don’t replace the need for more social services and education funding.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

College Student (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 21 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This law feels like it could be misused against legitimate protestors, risking fair treatment.
  • I'm worried it categorizes activism too harshly at times.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired Judge (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe tough measures are necessary to protect the public from extreme criminal acts.
  • However, the judicial system must ensure fairness in applying such severe punishments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Small Business Owner (Seattle, WA)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increasing safety would help my business recover and budget better.
  • I support measures that prevent such destructive actions quickly and effectively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Gang member (Houston, TX)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • With harsher penalties looming, it might deter some gang activities.
  • However, those deeply involved might just go deeper underground.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 3 4
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 2 5
Year 10 2 5
Year 20 2 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $52000000 (Low: $32000000, High: $74000000)

Year 3: $54080000 (Low: $32960000, High: $76960000)

Year 5: $58334400 (Low: $35545600, High: $83084800)

Year 10: $68674208 (Low: $41888448, High: $97940992)

Year 100: $164214115160 (Low: $100718933256, High: $234118782064)

Key Considerations