Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9188

Bill Overview

Title: Auto Theft Prevention Act

Description: This bill establishes a grant program and allows other grants to be used to combat auto theft and stolen automobile trafficking. Specifically, the bill directs the Office of Community Oriented Policing Services within the Department of Justice to award grants for state and local law enforcement agencies to combat auto theft and stolen vehicle trafficking. Grant funds must be used for specified purposes, including to purchase equipment, hire additional law enforcement officers, and provide resources and training. The bill also allows funds under the Community Oriented Policing Services grant program to be used to combat auto thefts and stolen automobile trafficking.

Sponsors: Rep. Sherrill, Mikie [D-NJ-11]

Target Audience

Population: People affected by auto theft

Estimated Size: 12000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

teacher (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about my car getting stolen since I don't have a garage.
  • Even with insurance, it’s a hassle that impacts my daily life.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 4

auto mechanic (Houston, TX)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I’ve had tools stolen from my truck before, decreasing the risk would be huge.
  • Extra law enforcement might make a real difference in this area.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 8 4
Year 3 8 4
Year 5 8 3
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 6 2

insurance claims adjuster (Chicago, IL)

Age: 43 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reducing theft can lower claims, which might lower insurance costs in the long run.
  • This policy could significantly help adjust our risk assessments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 6

retired factory worker (Detroit, MI)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's stressful worrying if my car is still there every morning.
  • The extra safety might let me worry less about theft.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 9 3

university student (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don’t really worry about car thefts since I don't own a car.
  • It might be good for people who drive a lot, though.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

taxi driver (New York, NY)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Nighttime can feel more dangerous; any protection helps.
  • Investing in safety could secure my livelihood by preventing theft.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 8 4
Year 5 8 3
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 7 2

IT specialist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I pay extra for secure parking but still hear about nearby thefts.
  • Funding for prevention might reduce their frequency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

nurse (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Keeping my car safe ensures I can work without interruption.
  • A reduction in theft could also lower my insurance costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 3

small business owner (Miami, FL)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The threat of theft affects my business’s profitability and operations.
  • This bill could save costs spent on current security measures and losses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 9 5
Year 5 9 4
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 8 3

real estate agent (Denver, CO)

Age: 46 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't worry much about theft personally, but I understand the need for such measures.
  • It's good for maintaining the safety reputation of this area.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Year 2: $245000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $290000000)

Year 3: $240000000 (Low: $190000000, High: $280000000)

Year 5: $235000000 (Low: $180000000, High: $270000000)

Year 10: $225000000 (Low: $170000000, High: $260000000)

Year 100: $225000000 (Low: $170000000, High: $260000000)

Key Considerations