Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9147

Bill Overview

Title: Haiti Criminal Collusion Transparency Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires the Department of State to provide an annual report to Congress on ties between criminal gangs and political and economic elites in Haiti. Among other things, the report must (1) identify prominent criminal gangs in Haiti, (2) list Haitian political and economic elites that have links to criminal gangs, (3) assess how collusion between Haitian political and economic elites and criminal gangs threatens the Haitian people and U.S. national interests, and (4) assess what actions the governments of the United States and Haiti could take to address those threats. The bill also requires the State Department to identify certain individuals listed in the report who may be subject to visa- and property-blocking sanctions under specified U.S. laws.

Sponsors: Rep. Demings, Val Butler [D-FL-10]

Target Audience

Population: People in Haiti and affiliated parties

Estimated Size: 50000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Import-export business owner (Florida)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about my business relationships being affected if partners are listed in sanctions.
  • On the other hand, the policy might help reduce crime, which would be beneficial for doing business safely.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 4

NGO worker focusing on Haitian community (New York)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might reveal necessary truths that could lead to change.
  • It could stress our community if bad actors are exposed, but the long-term benefits are worth it.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Government worker (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill increases our workload significantly as we must comply with its requirements.
  • It's a necessary measure to aid Haiti's stability, which aligns with our diplomatic interests.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 6

Tech startup founder (California)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't think this policy affects me at all, but I feel it's a step forward for international justice.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

University researcher (Boston)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy provides rich data for my research, possibly unraveling important ties that affect global diplomacy.
  • I may face pressure if research incidents reveal especially damning facts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 7

Retired military officer (Texas)

Age: 63 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've seen firsthand what security measures can do to improve situations like these, so I support the policy.
  • Concerns about whether corruption here intersects with issues over there.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Graduate student (Chicago)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems quite important to international politics and my area of study.
  • It could reflect on U.S.-Haiti relations in ways beneficial to my research.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Small business owner (New Jersey)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about sanctions or other political actions hindering my business operations if my partners are affected.
  • In the long run, this clarity might help stabilize my supply chain.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Journalist (Georgia)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The report will provide invaluable content and possibly open up new investigative leads.
  • Risks surrounding the accused might influence our safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Activist (Illinois)

Age: 35 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Delighted to know there is focus on reducing corruption in Haiti.
  • This might be a model policy for transparency in other regions too.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $2500000 (Low: $1800000, High: $3500000)

Year 2: $2600000 (Low: $1900000, High: $3600000)

Year 3: $2700000 (Low: $2000000, High: $3700000)

Year 5: $2900000 (Low: $2200000, High: $3900000)

Year 10: $3400000 (Low: $2500000, High: $4400000)

Year 100: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Key Considerations