Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9128

Bill Overview

Title: 287(g) Program Protection Act

Description: This bill requires the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) to allow qualified state and local law enforcement agencies to perform certain immigration enforcement activities if the agency requests such authority. DHS may refuse to grant the request only if there is a compelling reason. Currently, DHS is authorized to grant such authority but is not required to do so.

Sponsors: Rep. Cloud, Michael [R-TX-27]

Target Audience

Population: Undocumented immigrants and their families

Estimated Size: 16000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Construction Worker (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 43 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about being separated from my kids.
  • My community is already tense with the police, and this will only make it worse.
  • Living in constant fear becomes exhausting and harms my family's wellbeing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 2 5
Year 20 1 5

Kindergarten Teacher (Austin, TX)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I fear this could impact my husband's ability to stay with us.
  • I worry about what this means for our children if their father is deported.
  • Community trust has been eroding, and this could increase divisiveness.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 3 6
Year 20 3 6

Undocumented Entrepreneur (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I contribute to the community and economy and just want to stay under the radar.
  • This policy feels like it targets people like me and my family unnecessarily.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 7
Year 2 4 7
Year 3 3 7
Year 5 3 7
Year 10 2 7
Year 20 2 7

Police Officer (Des Moines, IA)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could help us manage crime more effectively.
  • It might lead to more trust in law enforcement if handled correctly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired (Miami, FL)

Age: 67 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy singles out a vulnerable community and increases fear among immigrants.
  • I'm concerned for my friends and community members who may be affected.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 6

IT Manager (Seattle, WA)

Age: 36 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I fear the possible deportation of my partner.
  • There's stress daily due to immigration uncertainties that this law will deepen.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 2 5
Year 20 2 5

Student (New York, NY)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy worries me as it threatens our family unit.
  • I fear for my parents' safety and their ability to stay.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 4 6

Restaurant Manager (El Paso, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might complicate hiring and workforce stability in my restaurant.
  • I understand the law but worry about the implications for my staff.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Public School Teacher (Chicago, IL)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My students' families could be deeply affected by this policy, which worries me.
  • There's a fear that children will be abandoned if parents are deported.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 2 5
Year 20 2 5

Registered Nurse (Raleigh, NC)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could impact my spouse's ability to remain in the U.S.
  • We have built a life here together, and it feels at risk.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 4 7
Year 10 3 7
Year 20 3 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $8000000)

Year 2: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $8000000)

Year 3: $5500000 (Low: $3400000, High: $8800000)

Year 5: $6000000 (Low: $3600000, High: $9600000)

Year 10: $7000000 (Low: $4200000, High: $11000000)

Year 100: $15000000 (Low: $9000000, High: $24000000)

Key Considerations