Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9119

Bill Overview

Title: Targeting and Offsetting Existing Illegal Contaminants Act

Description: This bill provides for a program within the Forest Service to identify, investigate, research, and remediate the environmental damage caused by trespass cultivation of cannabis on National Forest System lands and increases criminal penalties for illegal pesticide application on government property. Specifically, the bill directs the Forest Service to carry out a program of environmental remediation on its land, to be known as the Trespass Cannabis Cultivation Site Restoration Program.

Sponsors: Rep. Peters, Scott H. [D-CA-52]

Target Audience

Population: People relying on National Forest System lands

Estimated Size: 2500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Environmental Scientist (Oregon)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is crucial for reversing the damage done by illegal growers who prioritize profit over the environment.
  • Increased penalties are a good deterrent, but ensuring effective implementation is essential.
  • I expect a positive impact on the local ecology, which is my primary concern.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 4

Legal Cannabis Producer (California)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy will help level the playing field against illegal growers, which is necessary.
  • Better enforcement helps legitimize the industry but I worry stricter measures could complicate legal processes further.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 7 3

Retired Forest Ranger (Montana)

Age: 60 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a well-timed intervention as the damage from illegal operations is increasingly visible.
  • Ongoing maintenance and strict monitoring will be key to sustaining the positive impacts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 4

Graduate Student (Arizona)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The commitment to remediate environmental damage is a positive step for science-based conservation efforts.
  • I'm optimistic about improved research opportunities and ecosystem health.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 4 3

Recreational Hiker (Colorado)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Making national forests safer by removing hazardous waste is essential for the enjoyment of these areas.
  • However, the policy might not directly affect my overall experience initially.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Wildlife Photographer (Nevada)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Lowering the environmental impact of illegal practices is vital for preserving biodiversity.
  • I hope the initiatives are long-lasting and well-managed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Local Business Owner (New Hampshire)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A cleaner and safer environment may attract more visitors, boosting local businesses.
  • While beneficial, I worry about any increase in restrictions affecting visitor access.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 4

High School Teacher (Wisconsin)

Age: 53 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The program is an opportunity to engage students with real-world conservation challenges.
  • It's important for educational purposes to see implementation and results firsthand.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Retired (New Mexico)

Age: 70 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Efforts like this are essential for keeping our forests clean, but more focus on long-term strategies is necessary.
  • I appreciate any policy that focuses on the upkeep and safety of our public lands.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

Fishing Guide (Alaska)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Ensuring that river systems remain clean from illegal pesticide use is critical for my livelihood.
  • I am optimistic about the policy but worry about enforcement consistency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 2: $11000000 (Low: $9000000, High: $13000000)

Year 3: $12000000 (Low: $9500000, High: $14000000)

Year 5: $13000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $15000000)

Year 10: $14000000 (Low: $11000000, High: $16000000)

Year 100: $15000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $17000000)

Key Considerations