Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9103

Bill Overview

Title: Flatside Wilderness Additions Act

Description: This bill adds specified lands to the Flatside Wilderness in the Ouachita National Forest in Arkansas. The bill also redesignates the wilderness as the Flatside-Bethune Wilderness.

Sponsors: Rep. Hill, J. French [R-AR-2]

Target Audience

Population: People worldwide who use or are affected by alterations to the Ouachita National Forest

Estimated Size: 50000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Forest Ranger (Little Rock, Arkansas)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe increasing wilderness areas is crucial for conservation.
  • This may improve ecological health significantly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Small Business Owner (Hot Springs, Arkansas)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased wilderness designations might boost tourism, which is positive for my business.
  • However, I hope it does not restrict too much of the recreational activities that attract customers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 6

Environmentalist (Fayetteville, Arkansas)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a step in the right direction for ecology preservation.
  • Such policies ensure long-term sustainability of our natural resources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 10 8
Year 10 10 8
Year 20 10 8

Retired Logger (Texarkana, Arkansas)

Age: 59 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about what this means for local jobs in logging.
  • It's crucial that alternative employment opportunities are created.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Conservation Blogger (Dundee, Florida)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy aligns with the need for more protected land areas.
  • It provides good material for my blog and strengthens the ecological message.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Outdoor Enthusiast (Dallas, Texas)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I enjoy the forest for outdoor activities. I hope this designation doesn't restrict access too much.
  • Conservation is important, but so is making sure people can enjoy these spaces.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 7

Retired Teacher (Memphis, Tennessee)

Age: 68 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This will enhance natural beauty and support future generations' opportunities to experience nature.
  • I believe it is a positive move for conservation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Recreational ATV Enthusiast (Little Rock, Arkansas)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am worried about access to trails for ATVs as wilderness designations usually mean more restrictions.
  • Preserving land is important, but there needs to be a balance with recreational use.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 6 6

Environmental Scientist (Boston, Massachusetts)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm hopeful this could serve as a model for future conservation efforts.
  • The long-term benefits to biodiversity are very important.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Logistics Manager (Houston, Texas)

Age: 46 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This might complicate logistics operations in the region.
  • I understand the need for conservation but worry about economic costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000 (Low: $300000, High: $800000)

Year 2: $500000 (Low: $300000, High: $800000)

Year 3: $500000 (Low: $300000, High: $800000)

Year 5: $500000 (Low: $300000, High: $800000)

Year 10: $500000 (Low: $300000, High: $800000)

Year 100: $500000 (Low: $300000, High: $800000)

Key Considerations