Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9101

Bill Overview

Title: H–2A Reform Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires the Department of Labor to set the adverse effect wage rate applicable to certain temporary foreign workers at an amount equal to 125% of the federal minimum wage minus the value of any other benefit provided to the foreign worker.

Sponsors: Rep. Fischbach, Michelle [R-MN-7]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals with or seeking H-2A visas, primarily agricultural workers

Estimated Size: 0

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

H-2A Worker (California)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If the policy increases my wages, it would be very beneficial for my family back in Mexico.
  • I'm worried it might make it harder for me to get a job if employers find it too expensive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 6 4

Farm Owner (Iowa)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Raising wages for H-2A workers could increase my operational costs significantly.
  • I may have to pass these costs onto my buyers or reduce staff.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 5 8

H-2A Worker (North Carolina)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This reform would mean more money, but I worry about losing my job as employers could look for other options.
  • It would help me support my family better.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 5 5

Agricultural Policy Analyst (Washington)

Age: 44 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could greatly improve H-2A workers' wellbeing, but must be balanced with the economic realities of farm operations.
  • It's crucial to monitor how farms respond to the wage increase.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 6

Cattle Rancher (Texas)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 20/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't see much impact on my ranch personally, as we don't use many H-2A workers.
  • However, the broader industry might see shifts, affecting market prices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 8 8

Agricultural Economist (Florida)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy can stabilize labor supply but must be effectively cost-managed.
  • We should ensure there are not unintended consequences like reduced job placements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Farm Manager (California)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Adjusting wages as per the policy might challenge our budget, but it's potentially beneficial for workforce stability.
  • We need to plan for managing wage impacts.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 8

H-2A Worker (New York)

Age: 63 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 17/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy means more wages but could reduce available work.
  • If it works as intended, it should improve my situation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 4 5

Agricultural Labor Contractor (Nebraska)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This increase in wage rates could help in retaining workers but complicates the budgeting for many smaller farms.
  • Support systems or subsidies might help manage this.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

H-2A Worker (Georgia)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 19/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This will make a big difference to my income but I hope it doesn't decrease job availability.
  • Increased competition for jobs may be a challenge.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $450000000, High: $550000000)

Year 2: $515000000 (Low: $460000000, High: $570000000)

Year 3: $530450000 (Low: $470000000, High: $590000000)

Year 5: $561626755 (Low: $490000000, High: $620000000)

Year 10: $632860038 (Low: $550000000, High: $690000000)

Year 100: $1132239066 (Low: $980000000, High: $1240000000)

Key Considerations