Policy Impact Analysis - 117/HR/9093

Bill Overview

Title: Homeland Security Fentanyl Enforcement Act

Description: This bill specifically allows Special Agents of Homeland Security Investigations to enforce the Controlled Substances Act during their normal course of duties and to the same extent as the Drug Enforcement Administration.

Sponsors: Rep. Higgins, Clay [R-LA-3]

Target Audience

Population: people impacted by fentanyl use and enforcement worldwide

Estimated Size: 2000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Unemployed (Miami, Florida)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased enforcement will make it harder for me to get fentanyl, which could help me get clean.
  • I'm worried about being arrested and getting a criminal record.
  • I hope there will be more support for rehab and recovery.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 6 3
Year 5 7 2
Year 10 6 2
Year 20 5 1

Nurse (Portland, Oregon)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More enforcement will hopefully reduce the number of overdoses we see in the ER.
  • It's important that enforcement goes hand in hand with treatment options.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 6

Truck driver (Baltimore, Maryland)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I’m worried I might get caught up in harsher enforcement even though I've changed.
  • Hope enforcement means there’s more help for people coming out of jail.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 3
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 6 3
Year 20 5 2

Pharmacist (Charleston, West Virginia)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe increased enforcement should come with education and recovery support programs.
  • It’s good if it reduces trafficking, but resources are needed for health services.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

College student (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 23 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I’m interested to see how effective this will be from a law enforcement perspective.
  • Hopefully, it means safer environments on and off-campus.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Small business owner (Detroit, Michigan)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope increased enforcement addresses the root cause and not just arrests.
  • Would like to see the policy reduce addiction rates in communities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 7 3

Software engineer (San Francisco, California)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Fentanyl is not part of my circle but I understand this is important for communities affected.
  • I’m more concerned about drug policy reform in general.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Retired teacher (Cleveland, Ohio)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this can make my neighborhood safer for my grandchildren.
  • Concerned about how this will affect local families involved with drugs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 6 3

Police officer (New York, New York)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm keen to see if this policy aids in our operations against fentanyl dealers.
  • I believe in a balanced approach, more community engagement.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Substance abuse counselor (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased enforcement without support systems for users won’t solve the problem.
  • I advocate for focus on both decreasing availability and increasing recovery resources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $85000000 (Low: $75000000, High: $95000000)

Year 2: $86000000 (Low: $76000000, High: $96000000)

Year 3: $87000000 (Low: $77000000, High: $97000000)

Year 5: $90000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $100000000)

Year 10: $95000000 (Low: $85000000, High: $105000000)

Year 100: $110000000 (Low: $95000000, High: $125000000)

Key Considerations